Fullstockdata @fullstockdata

@zerohedge Yeah but Jensen was not talking about GB300 if I’m not mistaking. So for Rubin’s and other chips the token and revenue calculations are completely different. So it seems like you’re not comparing apples to apples

@lord_fed Im following your calls for a year already. Incredible how well you read the markets. Truly impressive

@StockShark16 So you think QQQ will look different compared to your SPY call here or how should read that? x.com/stockshark16/s…

optionGeek ✨ @StockShark16

2 weeks ago

$SPY - Pullback rally in a downtrend channel. We sent the details to members on Wednesday, as all major indices were flashing short-term oversold signals, and the rally was in line with our expectation. However, more pain is ahead next week, if not starting tomorrow. more

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"Mr. President you should accept the rate hike. It's necessary to lower rates and get them under control. The markets expects the decision. Anything else would send yields higher." I imagine that's what they told him. I bet Trump isn't happy. I bet there will be a tweet eventually.

*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone

2 weeks ago

White House says Fed rate hike 'unfortunate'

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Now start getting somewhere. $VIX Let’s get some volatility in the next few weeks to set up a nice Q4 rally.

Am I the only one who feels something is missing without a Trump tweet criticizing the FOMC meeting?

*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone

2 weeks ago

FOMC RAISES RATES 25 BPS TO 3.75%-4%; VOTE 12-0 12 FOMC MEMBERS SEE RATES AT 4.1% BY END-2026 FED: HIKE WILL SUPPORT TIMELIER RETURN TO 2% INFLATION 4 MEMBERS SEE RATES AT 4.4% BY DEC, 2 SEE RATES AT 3.9% MEDIAN FED FUNDS RATE PROJECTION 4.1% AT END-2027 MEDIAN FED FUNDS

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Just wait and see what happens. Plenty of time to get in. $SPY $QQQ

Fullstockdata @fullstockdata

2 weeks ago

What if it’s just that simple this year? Like the momentum trade seasonality in July… A lot of headwind to justify the outcome. $SPY $QQQ

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@lord_fed Wdyt about this @lord_fed . At least one data point that shows that investors are not bearish and instead bullish? So maybe a bearish outcome will surprise? x.com/kobeissiletter…

The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter

2 weeks ago

Investors are no longer hedging against a tech stock crash. The average 1-month put-to-call skew of the Nasdaq 100 index is down to 0 points, its 4th-lowest reading over the last 20 years. This measures how much more investors are paying for downside protection through put

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@ZaStocks Now you just need to put the timing to these steps and we’re good

Fascinating to see that investors are so focused on the growth and product (both impressive) that basic accounting doesn’t matter. There were times when investors would call these a 🚩

Matthew Chang @MatthewChang

2 weeks ago

Allow me to interpret what’s happening. Anthropic is being audited. Anthropic desires to file an S-1, as they would like to go public. Therefore they need an audit. And by “they”, I mean the VC’s who invested in them. So “they” can exit their position and pass the bag to

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Never say never with trump. Might be nothing might be something. You never know and with so much headwind already (Oil, rates, midterms) I stand by my earlier post. Don’t try to be a hero. Let it play out this September. If there will be a run there will be plenty of time to catch it. We will see what happens soon. $SPY $QQQ

Rob Anderson @_rob_anderson

2 weeks ago

The second half of September has tended to be the most bearish half month of the year by average and median returns.

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What if it’s just that simple this year? Like the momentum trade seasonality in July… A lot of headwind to justify the outcome. $SPY $QQQ

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Fullstockdata @fullstockdata

4 weeks ago

$SPY $QQQ September - why try to be a hero? New FED Chair 🔴 Seasonality 🔴 Mid-Team Seasonality 🔴🔴 Retail participation 🔴 Rates near record high 🔴 Iran tensions 🟠 Earnings Season 🟢 AI Revolution and Capex 🟢 Yes, September might be a positive surprise. However, $SPY and

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I think this is the most challenging part for $IREN investors short-term. If a CEO believes (rightfully so) it’s better to wait before making a deal that means there aren‘t many news to be expected that might help the share price short term. And with that the next ER for $IREN will be bad as well. $210M or so revenue but around $170M SG&A and more then $120M SBC + more bitcoin write-offs. Granted a lot of additional compute will be online but that shows up earliest in CY27. For Nov again it will be a big loss and the show me story will start ramping up from next year. At the same time it remains to be seen how well they can actually execute. Signing a deal is one thing - utilising all GPUs and its clusters is not a walk in the park. Will be interesting to see how much of the ARR will result in actual revenue.

Daniel Roberts @danroberts0101

3 weeks ago

2. The forward-contracting question has flipped 180 degrees. Not long ago it was "wen deal". This week: how long can you hold your capacity available. The structural point is being understood: only half a dozen companies in the world can contract capacity 12-18 months ahead of

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Tariffs generated a lot or revenues until they didn't. No way they'll pay the $5000. Exhibit a:

Acyn @Acyn

3 weeks ago

Baier: $5000 for every adult citizen, that's about $1.3 trillion. The critics will say the president is bribing voters and he's bankrupting the country. Vance: Tariffs have generated a lot of revenues. The president is saying, if you keep us in power, then you will share in

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Bessent when thinking about what that means for rates..

The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter

3 weeks ago

BREAKING: President Trump says he will issue a $5,000 "dividend" to every adult citizen in the US if the Republicans win the midterm elections. There are currently ~245 million US citizens age 18+, meaning this dividend would cost ~$1.2 trillion. This would mark the biggest

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I think the bond market won't agree with that...

amit @amitisinvesting

3 weeks ago

TRUMP: IF THE REPUBLICANS WIN THE HOUSE AND THE SENATE IN THE MIDTERMS, I WILL ISSUE A $5000 PAYMENT TO EVERY ADULT IN THE UNITED STATES.

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@lord_fed Any thoughts on for how long?

Some stats that you might like @Mr_Derivatives

$SPY $QQQ September - why try to be a hero? New FED Chair 🔴 Seasonality 🔴 Mid-Team Seasonality 🔴🔴 Retail participation 🔴 Rates near record high 🔴 Iran tensions 🟠 Earnings Season 🟢 AI Revolution and Capex 🟢 Yes, September might be a positive surprise. However, $SPY and $QQQ are near all-time high. I think I'll sit this one out. Assuming we don't go up in a straight line there will be another entry with a better environment and history present. I'd rather miss the next few percent until the direction is clear instead of running into these signs. Especially with momentum values.

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That's not even the biggest issue. They showed that they have a problem getting supply chain parts. That's why liquid cooling compute comes online in Q4 27. I doubt they can outcompete OpenAI, Anthropic, SpaceX and Co on parts in the future. Irens power doesn't count if they can't use it...