𝕯𝖊𝖛 @fym_dev

what.

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never again.

Conor3D @Conor3D

6 hours ago

I genuinely hope most of the other secret badge quests are as not as annoying as Blade Ball one

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9 years ago today, the island of Dominica fell. With catastrophic winds of 165 MPH, Hurricane Maria cut off the island from the outside world, producing stronger winds and more devastating damage there than any documented storm had done before. And this was just the beginning.

Tonight marks 9 years since the infamous last scan of Puerto Rico's radar, before it was blown away by Hurricane Maria as it made a destructive landfall in Puerto Rico. This last frame captured Maria in late in the process of an eyewall replacement cycle.

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Crazy how much iPhones have evolved from 2019 to 2026 🤯 7 years of design changes — from the Notch → Smaller Notch → Dynamic Island → Smaller Dynamic Island 😬 iPhone 11 Pro Max to iPhone 18 Pro Max here’s the full front and back design evolution…

2026 Brings a Much Higher Cat 5 Landfall Risk to Southwest Mexico The 2026 El Niño is already a +1.5 event on the ASO (August-September-October) scale I use for classification purposes and it is still strengthening. That places it in the same class as 1997, 2015, and 2023. #Hurricane Genevieve has already reached Category 5 strength over water. That checks the open-ocean box. Now, the big question remains: will there be a Cat 5 landfall? This write-up is confined to the eastern Pacific (EPAC) basin east of 140°W. ENSO class is the CPC ASO tri-monthly ONI, version 5. The climatological baseline is 1995–2025. That window is the homogeneous satellite/Dvorak period for EPAC intensity. Earlier decades systematically undercount the high end, which is why I am not mixing 1966–1994 into these rates. The first point most people miss: El Niño does not give the basin many extra named storms. It changes how strong they get. Seasonal averages (all years/non–El Niño/El Niño): Named storms: 15.5/15.0/16.6 Hurricanes: 8.0/7.6/9.1 Majors: 3.9/3.1/6.3 ACE: 100/90/131 As can be seen, the named storm counts barely move, majors roughly double, and ACE is up about 45% versus non–El Niño years. Category 5 Hurricanes A Category 5 occurred in 9 of 31 seasons (29%), 3 of 23 non–El Niño seasons (13%), and 6 of 8 El Niño seasons (75%). Once ASO reaches +1.0, it is 4 of 4. At +1.5 it is 3 of 3. The only El Niño seasons that missed a Cat 5 were the weak ones: 2004 (+0.7) and 2006 (+0.5). Even so, those years still had value. Both produced 130 kt/150 mph hurricanes — Javier and Daniel. They were not quiet seasons. They just never crossed the 137 kt threshold. Use the West Pacific super-typhoon standard of 130 kt (150 mph) and the El Niño signal is complete. A 150 mph storm occurred in 17 of 31 years (55%), 9 of 23 non–El Niño years (39%), and 8 of 8 El Niño years (100%). Every ASO El Niño season in this sample produced at least one 150 mph hurricane. Most noteworthy, the top of the scale lives in the strong events. Hurricane Linda (1997) reached 185 mph. Patricia (2015) reached 215 mph. Otis (2023) reached 165 mph and made the only known Category 5 landfall in the eastern Pacific. Landfalls The landfall record is the cut I care about most, and it is even cleaner than the open-ocean counts. Only four eastern Pacific hurricanes came ashore at Category 4 or 5 during 1995–2025. All four were ASO +1.0 or stronger. That is why I treat +1.0 as the practical landfall threshold in this basin — not +0.5. Otis — 25 October 2023 — +1.6 — Category 5, 160–165 mph, Acapulco. Only known Cat 5 landfall in the basin and constitutes the landfall analog. Patricia — 23 October 2015 — +2.2 — Category 4, 130 kt / 150 mph, Cuixmala, Jalisco. Peak at sea was 215 mph. Kenna — 25 October 2002 — +1.0 — Category 4, 140 mph, near San Blas, Nayarit. Lidia — 10 October 2023 — +1.6 — Category 4, 140 mph, near Puerto Vallarta. All four of these struck Mexico between October 10 and 25. That is predominantly a two-to-three-week window, not typically a season-long risk. There was no Cat 4+ Pacific landfall during that entire 31-year period in a weak El Niño, a neutral year, or a La Niña. Expand the cut to all major landfalls and the filter leaks some, but not much. There were 11 Cat 3+ landfalls in 31 years. Seven of those 11 were El Niño years. Five of the 11 were +1.0 or stronger — and those five are every Cat 4+ landfall. A major landfall occurred in 6 of 8 El Niño years and in 4 of 4 years at +1.0. Most of the major landfalls are also late. To be specific, eight of the 11 Cat 3+ landfalls in this sample occurred after September 16. The Cat 4+ set is tighter still: October 10-25. 2026 Season This is already a +1.5 El Niño. The analogs I am using are 1997, 2015, and 2023 — not simply a generic warm year and not 2004 or 2006. That analog set includes Linda and Patricia at sea, Patricia as a 130 kt landfall, and Otis as a Category 5 landfall. As mentioned above, Genevieve has already checked the open-ocean Cat 5 box this season. We now await to see if a Cat 4 or 5 landfall materializes before this season comes to a close. With that said, here are my probabilities for the remainder of 2026. They are a major increase over a normal eastern Pacific season, and they sit in line with 1997, 2015, and 2023. A typical year in the 1995–2025 baseline: Cat 3+ landfall about 32%, Cat 4+ landfall about 13%, Cat 5 landfall about 3%. My forecast for the rest of this season: Cat 3+ landfall — 80% Cat 4+ landfall — 60% Cat 5 landfall — 30% It’s important to note that “higher risk” is not the same thing as likely. 30% on a Cat 5 landfall is an order of magnitude above a normal year, but it’s still a minority outcome. The analog window for those extreme landfalls remains October 10–25 on the southwest Mexican coast. 1995–2025 EPAC baseline (ASO ONI v5) Averages — all years/non–El Niño/El Niño/ +1.0 / +1.5 Named storms: 15.5/15.0/16.6 /16.0/17.3 Hurricanes: 8.0/7.6/9.1/9.5/10.7 Majors: 3.9/3.1/6.3/7.3/8.0 ACE: 100/90/131/139/152 130 kt+ per year: 0.94/0.48/2.25/2.75/2.67 Cat 5s per year: 0.42/0.13/1.25/2.0/1.67 Seasons with a 150 mph storm: 55%/39%/100%/100%/100% Seasons with a Cat 5: 29%/13%/75%/100%/100% +1.0 years: 1997, 2002, 2015, 2023 +1.5 years: 1997, 2015, 2023

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This might seem silly to be excited over, but I think it may be a weather first — from 30,000 feet over Kentucky, I made phones in Mexico buzz. Now I can be anywhere and alert anywhere. If you get a MetNote, know that I wrote it myself, drew it myself and it’s all 100% human.

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MyRadar Weather @MyRadarWX

14 hours ago

While it’s too early to know specifics, there is an above-average chance of a major hurricane forming off Mexico’s west coast next week. We estimate a 1 in 4 chance of landfall in Mexico. @MatthewCappucci has a writeup addressing this potential: myradar.com/layers/metnote…

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@app_settings Every iPhone 11 I’ve seen has dead pixels… even my old iPhone 11 I gave to my younger sister has dead pixels

ok this is kinda random but i got a new iPhone- the iPhone 11! one of my friends had it lying around and gave it to me lol, i’m REALLY excited to see how iOS 27 is on its oldest supported hardware it’s got a few dead pixels and a battery at 70% but is fine apart from that…

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Sigue sin superar esta aura

BloxFeed @Blox_Feed

a day ago

Builderman Has updated his Avatar in R6!

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@f_frostyy @Half_LifeDecay @dementio89 @accountfortier4 Nope… Also I don’t wanna to annoy ppl like that yk, I don’t wanna be self-centered

It was great to welcome @AlboMP to Apple Park this morning to talk about the incredible work of our teams and our longstanding commitment to Australia. I was grateful to share some of our newest innovations, including strong and intuitive controls to help keep kids safe online.

Alright man… #tropicswx

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first iPhone launch day without my little Steve Jobs-era Apple Store ;_;

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Still a very strong signal for #99E to eventually intensify into a powerful hurricane south of #Mexico next week. There is ongoing track uncertainty though, in terms of whether it moves north into the coast or bends west for a time. Some of this uncertainty seems to be driven by possible interactions with #98E further west. Definitely something to keep an eye on.

Shedletsky has finally been verified.

While it’s too early to know specifics, pattern recognition indicates a majority chance of a major hurricane forming in the eastern Pacific next week off Mexico’s west coast. There is a 1 in 4 chance of landfall somewhere in Mexico. My thoughts: myradar.com/layers/metnote…

For ALL Launchers, follow these accounts on Roblox and join them in game! I'll announce when we do the next drop together soon. Admin: Caf3zlnho sneakysnipers1 (@ThisIsTamely) purrsian_lily Dev: Clockset (@ClocksetY) EnderWinn (@EnderWinn_) Ztrawbz (@Ztrawbz) Jazzyx3 (@Jazzyxthree) MiracleDrops (@MiracleDropsRBX) Star: SLeghart nealygamess (@nealygames) WaffleTrades (@WaffleTradesYT)

This hurricane will explosively develop Sunday into Tuesday, and be a Cat. 3 if not Cat. 4 before stalling in place. It will upwell water so tremendously, it may briefly weaken the storm until it reverses course back northwest towards Mexico.