Joe Aldina @jaldina1
#energymarkets #coal #mining #natgas #electricity Views my own, RTs not endorsements and likes = bookmarks. Washington, DC Joined January 2011-
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So if Japan is unwilling to time out its coal use, will any country in Asia do so? Don’t hold your breath. Japan will still pursue this goal, but it has to be a concern for gas demand growth in Asia. Renewables to the left, coal to the right, here is gas stuck in the middle.#ONGT
So if Japan is unwilling to time out its coal use, will any country in Asia do so? Don’t hold your breath. Japan will still pursue this goal, but it has to be a concern for gas demand growth in Asia. Renewables to the left, coal to the right, here is gas stuck in the middle.#ONGT
The alternative headline would be that cheap US gas commits to shutting down US coal plants during COP28 in exchange for a zero emissions pledge that should be done in half the time they are promising.
The alternative headline would be that cheap US gas commits to shutting down US coal plants during COP28 in exchange for a zero emissions pledge that should be done in half the time they are promising.
We all know metals are critical to clean energy technology – but do you know how much metal? visualcapitalist.com/sp/visualized-…
This tells you that Europe has reached solar & wind saturation; any more investment in the same must face negative summer prices. California is basically the same. The “canyon curve”. Source: powermag.com
This tells you that Europe has reached solar & wind saturation; any more investment in the same must face negative summer prices. California is basically the same. The “canyon curve”. Source: powermag.com https://t.co/DpaXuGRhry
1/2 Chinese steelmakers increased focus on seaborne due to weak domestic demand leading to a significant rise in #steel exports. If it continues '23 exports will surpass 85mmt, highest since '17. Chinese sellers lowered seaborne offers particularly in destinations like Vietnam.
I would add the staying power of coal in Asia is real, especially if Qatar & Co. cannot come in at a low enough price. For Qatar, it may be unwilling; for competitors, they may be unable. Past failures to deliver on contracted #LNG also widen credibility gap on new contracts.
I would add the staying power of coal in Asia is real, especially if Qatar & Co. cannot come in at a low enough price. For Qatar, it may be unwilling; for competitors, they may be unable. Past failures to deliver on contracted #LNG also widen credibility gap on new contracts.
Charts everyone needs to internalize…Hydrogen is a last resort energy source and gets beat hands down by electricity for a lot of applications, like light duty vehicles and home heating…
Charts everyone needs to internalize…Hydrogen is a last resort energy source and gets beat hands down by electricity for a lot of applications, like light duty vehicles and home heating…
“Any calls you get on Sunday, you’re going to make money. Those rare calls are the best since they are inevitably from seriously distressed sellers." - Warren Buffett
$BTU will have 1.5 billion cash at end of q1. Uses should be 500+ for sureties. 1 billion to take out Elliot and the convertible debt. Cuts shares outstanding by almost 25%
I see Lucas is arriving at the same “worst case” terminal value FCF number (~$500M) in 2025 that I did in my $CEIX thread yesterday. He is considerably more optimistic in ‘23 and ‘24 however, and I think that approach is correct. Prices can fall but positive FCF stays
I see Lucas is arriving at the same “worst case” terminal value FCF number (~$500M) in 2025 that I did in my $CEIX thread yesterday. He is considerably more optimistic in ‘23 and ‘24 however, and I think that approach is correct. Prices can fall but positive FCF stays
This is truly remarkable Via @atalaveraEcon
So, most economies produced sluggish growth with 0% interest rates for almost a decade. Yet they are not going to suffer from interest rates at 4-5% for a prolonged period of time. Ok, got it.
Zoom in, this is a great photo
Well… news has broken… A Ford 🇺🇸 x CATL 🇨🇳 gigafactory in Michigan could have some serious geopolitical waves. LFP is planned here … a missing gap here for the US. Gigafactories have always been geopolitical hot potatoes. Yet, this is next level. #EV #Battery
Coking #coal about to re-overtake NEWC thermal coal as the best performing commodity since inflation began in earnest in Nov 2020. But even if NEWC fell to $120, it would still have outperformed every other non-coal commodity over this period. 1/x
An additional point. Don’t sleep on how much contracted #LNG to China was allowed to be diverted to Europe and other Asian countries to cash in on the arbitrage created by the contract vs. spot differential. If not for this, maybe Chinese storage would have been higher. #ONGT
Matt Warder @mfwarder
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@coalnewsmaster It is true. And we have the money and the opportunity to do it right, for the workers and the communities. And there is a decade of cleanup/restoration thereafter.
Was a dream come true getting to spend time with the @UTAustin energy dream team today in Austin @MichaelEWebber @joshdr83 @arvindpawan1 ⚡️⛽️🌎
🚨Climate impacts of US #LNG has been in the news, especially with the Biden admin's pause on new permits! In recent work, we developed *geospatial* lifecycle assessment model to answer this critical question: how can we assess climate impacts global LNG supply chains? 🧵
@NCSHP welcomes the 2024 Mustang to the Patrol’s fleet. These marked vehicles will be seen working to keep roadways safe in NC in the coming months. Drivers wanted! Learn more about @NCSHP careers at ncdps.gov/careers-matter…
High interest rates threaten rollout of green economy: Wood Mackenzie report bnnbloomberg.ca/high-interest-…
A 550 bp increase in interest rates would ordinarily have slowed the economy and inflation more, but monetary policy is at odds with itself, and fiscal policy is expansionary. The Fed's swollen balance sheet and rising federal deficit are likely dampening the impact of rate hikes
The rate hikes turbo charge deficit spending by *directly* adding hundreds of billions of ADDITIONAL dollars to interest expenditure. Rate hikes don’t operate independently of fiscal policy. They have their OWN fiscal channels(s). And to the extent they slow the economy, that…
A 550 bp increase in interest rates would ordinarily have slowed the economy and inflation more, but monetary policy is at odds with itself, and fiscal policy is expansionary. The Fed's swollen balance sheet and rising federal deficit are likely dampening the impact of rate hikes
This SNL skit was the first thing that came to my mind upon hearing of the Juice's passing...
Never forget Tim Meadows as OJ Simpson writing “I did it” on the NFL telestrater (one of the best SNL opens). This was shortly after the verdict.
Here’s my take on the current situation: 1. Bonds are trading like Yellen is on the loose, printing $5.5bn a day 2. Gold is trading like Yellen is on the loose, printing $5.5bn a day 3. Stocks are trading like Yellen is on the loose, printing $5.5bn a day 4. Oil prices are…
Good morning with good news: US CO2 emissions were down ~2.7% in 2023. CO2 emissions were 17.2% below 2005 level & 6% below pre-pandemic 2019 total. They were at ~1987 level. Power sector & buildings both dropped significantly. eia.gov/totalenergy/da… rhg.com/research/us-gr…
Donner Pass in Northern California
One of the reasons that makes solar more adapted in Spain than in Germany (besides much better yield) is the smoother distribution over the year. Here is the daily prod. compared to the average. We can see a much lower contrast for Spain (same color scale). 1/4
US and European oligopolies have been caught asleep at the wheel: 'Better performance and affordability are driving the market Beijing’s way' Simply good’ Chinese electric cars power ahead of inferior US rivals ft.com/content/e732ed…
Four simple charts that demonstrate this is a historic macro opportunity to invest in distributed energy companies. ____________ 1) It's taking longer and longer to connect new big sources of power to the grid. No end in sight to this trend. 2) We also aren't on track to…
The US national debt is $34.471 trillion and rising $1 trillion every 100 days $32T to $33T = 92 days $33T to $34T = 106 days $34T to $35T is on pace for 100 days Within a few years, don't be surprised when the US national debt is increase at $1 trillion per 30 days. We are in…
And there you go....with solar cheapsr than coal in Asia and residential solar cheaper than grid connected power, it's growth is just going to happen irrespective of government policy electrek.co/2024/02/29/uti…
Absolute Legends 🫡🫡🫡
QT your most viral artwork😎📸
From 2018 to 2023, silver use in solar PV cells has dropped by around half! (h/t @solar_chase) Indeed academic papers (incl my own) tend to lean several yrs out of date. But industry intel is often paywalled, hence my habit of obnoxiously saving whatever nuggets I come across.
Good morning with good news: 99.6% of USA's 55.9 GW net utility scale capacity additions (additions minus retirements) in next 12 months will be solar, wind, batteries & other RE. Gas net addition is 358 MW! US likely also adds ~9 GW of small solar. eia.gov/electricity/mo…