Judah Cohen @judah47
Love snow & skiing. Always trying to push the boundaries what we can forecast about the weather on seasonal to sub-seasonal time-scales. My personal account. judahcohen.org Boston Joined June 2009-
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It might be May next month but the troposphere and the weather can't quit the #polarvortex (PV). PV still seems to be influencing the upcoming weather well into May. When will the two finally get divorced? New blog next week but only the Wednesday public release and no early look
The large #PolarVortex disruption from early March is still influencing our weather and will get an assist from the Final Warming next week (positive PCHs in the stratosphere). This may result in a long lasting Greenland blocking event that the models predict will last into May.
Being in Europe has provided me a different perspective about the upcoming weather, its connection to this past winter & the #PolarVortex or maybe it's just jet lag. My apologies for the delays this week but better late than never, the blog is now public: aer.com/science-resear…
We still have impacts from large stratospheric #polarvortex (PV) disruption in March & the Final Warming but weather models predict that the tropospheric PV is following the usual summer script of late & strengthening instead: Blog available for early look …ironmental-research-aer.myshopify.com/collections/fr…
This morning's North Atlantic regional geopotential polar cap height plot showing something unique. Downward influence from #PolarVortex disruption in early March reaching the troposphere resulting in Greenland blocking & simultaneously signs of Final Warming in the stratosphere!
Though the Final Warming is ongoing we are still experiencing the impacts of the #PolarVoirtex disruption from early March. Another "drip" of warm polar cap heights predicted for next week bringing drop in AO, ridging to North Atlantic & cooler temperatures to Eastern US & Europe
Thank you #polarvortex for a great end to ski season in New England! I got to enjoy mid-winter #snow conditions first weekend in April with my son close to home at @MtSunapeeResort. Now can look forward to summer!
Drip, drip, drip. Do you hear the leaky stratosphere? It's regional & episodic but the recent #polarvortex disruption is bringing some extreme winter weather to certain corners of the N Hemisphere. And who isn't up for some more stretching. Blog now public aer.com/science-resear…
We have a seeming oxymoron with the weather - the direct impact from large March #PolarVortex disruption & a positive Arctic Oscillation with troughing in the Arctic and ridging across the mid-latitudes. How to make sense. Blog now available for early look …ironmental-research-aer.myshopify.com/collections/fr…
@wxjay You see civilization has arrived in Germany.
Models predicting traditional tropospheric response to a #PolarVortex disruption of Greenland blocking next week setting up potential for heavy #snow in the New England mountains. Maybe time for ski industry to retrain public to associate Easter rather than Xmas for ski holidays.
Here's a recent episode from @PBS Terra on the March 1993 Superstorm. A great video if only for the nostalgia evoking videos of blizzards in a winter that wasn't but includes the good doctor looking unusually happy & highlighting our paper on cold extremes youtu.be/IiqcwzwPx6U?si…
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the hot new thing/shiny new object in weather. Well the AER AI seasonal forecast model is old enough to be experiencing a mid-life crisis. The AI model received a long overdue tune-up with ERA5 reanalysis and performed very well this past #winter.
Models are predicting that the #polarvortex is currently on a farewell global tour (until next #winter). However the same can't be said for the associated #cold & even #snow. Also favorable verification of the AER ERA5 winter forecast. Blog is now public: aer.com/science-resear…
#PolarVortex is currently in full split mode & if this were January we would all be hysterical whether you liked your #winters wild or mild. But now that it's spring what are the impacts, cold, snow? and do we really care? Blog available for an early look: …ironmental-research-aer.myshopify.com/collections/fr…
Lots of debate if the large #PolarVortex disruption will influence our weather but models are growing in confidence that it will. Largest positive height anomalies are predicted to reach lower stratosphere but to me the best evidence are increasing colder forecasts for Siberia.
The #polarVortex (PV) has saved it's best for last with a record breaking PV disruption & split that is influencing our weather but as usual the models show large disagreements on the degree of the impact. Blog now public with bonus #winter retrospective: aer.com/science-resear…
The #polarVortex has saved it's best for last with a record breaking disruption & the much desired split that is having big influences on our weather, wait excuse me as I need to yawn while reciting all the superlatives. Blog available for an early look: …ironmental-research-aer.myshopify.com/collections/fr…
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It was a cold morning. Only going up from here.
A couple of record low temperatures set earlier this morning. Islip reached a morning low of 33 degrees which breaks the old record of 34 set back in 2002. JFK reached a morning low of 37 degrees which ties the previous record of 37 previously set back in 1967.
@judah47 I don't like when mommy and daddy fight. Stay married for as long as possible. 90 and humid is not fun. 🤣
@judah47 Thank you! 👍
@judah47 It does lol mine is the 17th I remember the 15th it had little snowflakes I thought it was interesting
Kesä peruttu..
It might be May next month but the troposphere and the weather can't quit the #polarvortex (PV). PV still seems to be influencing the upcoming weather well into May. When will the two finally get divorced? New blog next week but only the Wednesday public release and no early look
👀👀👀👀👀👀👀
It might be May next month but the troposphere and the weather can't quit the #polarvortex (PV). PV still seems to be influencing the upcoming weather well into May. When will the two finally get divorced? New blog next week but only the Wednesday public release and no early look
@judah47 😄 It's time for the dramatic breake up maybe.
@judah47 Can we see this in January please
No divorce going to happen as its two massive forces eventually remarrying into one massive force
It might be May next month but the troposphere and the weather can't quit the #polarvortex (PV). PV still seems to be influencing the upcoming weather well into May. When will the two finally get divorced? New blog next week but only the Wednesday public release and no early look
@judah47 Which it makes me think if it is a strong or very strong El Niño it does that.
@judah47 Thankyou Dr.Judah lol my birthday is in May and this reminds me of 2015-2016 when it snowed a little bit two days before my birthday
Let’s go ! Happy Friday!! Where r u this weekend? 🌴
There it is. Snow depth under 1" for the first time in 172 days. It was a good snow season. The greatest Nov-Mar average snow depth on record. Until next time ...
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