maxmoosey🫎 @maxmoosey
maxmoosey = max(moose, moose) Manhattan, NY Joined March 2024-
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Following147
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Increasing position
4. "Earnings don’t move the market; it’s the Federal Reserve - focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity - most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets."
1. "It doesn't matter what a company's earning - you have to visualise the situation 18 months from now, and whatever that is, that's where the price will be, not where it is today". - Druckenmiller believes investors too often invest in the present, don't follow the puck.
Elon firing the lady who slept on the floor during the Twitter transition I’d never sleep on the floor for my boss. And definitely not Elon. Reminds me of Anna Quindlen’s amazing commencement speech:
If you watch this and don’t know that Israel is the good guy then you are a fucking retard.* *aka Progressive or Jihadist
If you watch this and don’t know that Israel is the good guy then you are a fucking retard.* *aka Progressive or Jihadist
Interesting: "creative" patents in computing, as defined by the number of new words in the patent, correlated to economic productivity (TFP): research.stlouisfed.org/publications/e…
so happy $agx stock shot up today - it was one of my biggest bets. the US hasn't invested in energy production, so will need to upgrade existing plants - agx's core business. next time I'll publish my predictions ahead of time lol
Why I’m bullish $ESLT: 1) its an established Israeli weapons company the IDF depends on and is increasing production since the war. 2) Israel is forced to invest in its domestic weapons production after Canada and other have stopped selling weapons to Israel in its time of need
Anyone familiar with this Robin 3% signup bonus for transferring an IRA? Too good to be true, but no one I talk to can point to any downside. Thinking of move a couple big IRA's over there.
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Watch this clip. Mental masturbation at its finest. The ONLY reason "the Soviets" did not "murder" a huge amount of German civilians is because they did not have the technical capability to do so. No strategic bombers and no atom bomb. The thinking that Stalin, after murdering…
Piers Morgan tries to justify war crimes: "How else could we have fought the Nazis?" Prof. Mearsheimer: "Well, if you look at how the Soviets fought, who were basically responsible for defeating the Nazis... there were no bombings of cities, no dropping of nuclear weapons."
you are just not paying attention if you do not perceive this is a pre-WWIII setting. It has all the trapping of pre WWII - belligerents enraged over US economic hegemony, so called powers crumbling internally desperately need an "other" (Russia, China), an ineffective central…
@emmagf @sentdefender Arrest all of them, deport the non citizens.
15/n I updated this below after the initial dump but ask yourself why was the market willing to sell me META for $90 less than two years ago when it was obvious they could earn what they wanted and at least $7-$8 (11-12x) but as of 3:59pm today was happy to pay 61x that same…
Out now- The Great Liquidity Debate 🔥🔥🔥 Michael Howell of @crossbordercap & George @BickerinBrattle Robertson both correctly predicted renewed bull market... but that is where the similarities end. While Michael closely measures liquidity to form a view on risk assets,…
The amount of people that think this is serious is startling
God I love it when market makers move billions of dollars of market cap after a retail trader buys 400 dollars of calls just to push the market against him and make sure he loses
If you are interested in financial history, this paper could be of interest. Using long-term data from @GlobalFinData , the author describes movements in stocks and bonds over the past eight(!) centuries. The paper provides a fascinating review of historical eras and events and…
After years of working on Sharpe ~2 strats, it's unbelievably satisfying to be making money printers. Loving both the tech and modelling, and looking forward to doing more work despite mountains of todos. Still so much to learn as well.. My gratitude to all who helped us get here
These indirect participants include not only money market funds and hedge funds but also thousands of smaller broker-dealers and banks. In the repo market "hierarchy", size determines ease of access...
On the left, a collage of 11 Palestinians killed by Israeli forces during a lengthy operation in Nour Shams, northern West Bank. On the right, open source evidence demonstrating seven of those killed were members of terror groups or were affiliated with them.
a lion doesn't concern himself with the opinion of sheep
@quantymacro Based. Except for the steak with spaghetti part.
for LASSO simps: when should you use LASSO? look at the pic. what does the formula mean? it means if you regress "good" features against the "bad" ones, the betas should be less than epsilon. in plain English it means LASSO struggles when good and bad features are correlated
a cool article about backtest: have you ever wondered why practitioners run regression as a pseudo-backtest? (one) reason is backtest ≈ predictive regression. this is only 1 page, the full book is a must read IMO. Inefficiently Efficient - Lasse Heje Pedersen
Working on my book chapter (and final NYU lecture) on theory and practice of backtesting. Calling out to all the readers: what is the most useful/insightful paper/article/blog post/sell side piece you have read on the subject? Link to it below. Your secrets are safe with me.
@sentdefender Watch these missiles PASSOVER yo airspace, Iran!
@Karachi__Wali @sentdefender Sounds like Iran is about to be a parking lot
Assorted tricks for Python trading algorithms! A thread 🧵 [1/N]
feel like this is usually the playbook on these large nukes majors tend to look like the left, strong outliers look like the middle, ones worth ignoring look like the right