Oriana Skylar Mastro @osmastro
Political scientist @stanford, Reservist @USAFReserve. Author of Upstart: How China Became a Great Power. Views don’t rep institutions. orianaskylarmastro.com Palo Alto, CA Joined October 2015-
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My latest article in @SecStudies_Jrnl, where I contend that China & Russia are deeply aligned and moving toward an even closer relationship. However, their military cooperation primarily aims to support China's challenge of US hegemony in Asia. Read here: doi.org/10.1080/096364…
Thrilled to share my latest publication in @SecStudies_Jrnl, "Sino-Russian Military Alignment and Its Implications for Global Security," where I examine the nature and impact of Sino-Russian alignment and explore the extent and limits of their partnership: doi.org/10.1080/096364…
Read my latest article published in Security Studies @SecStudies_Jrnl, where I present a novel alignment framework that best captures warfighting capabilities and how great powers align: doi.org/10.1080/096364….
Russia, China, and North Korea teamed up during the Cold War only to have the tripartite pact fizzle out. @osmastro believes the same fate lies ahead for the current convergence of the three nations. Read why in @ForeignAffairs. ow.ly/xZj550QJM8q
Despite bolstering North Korea—China faces a diplomatic tightrope, balancing its global image against the backdrop of Russian aggression. Check out my latest analysis @ForeignAffairs: loom.ly/WoH_llI
North Korea's increasing boldness, supported by Russia, poses a threat not just to regional stability but also to China's strategic interests. Read my full analysis @ForeignAffairs: loom.ly/WoH_llI
Some holiday reading - the silver lining behind the recent moves in the China-Russia -North Korea relationship @ForeignAffairs: foreignaffairs.com/china/next-tri…
Very insightful ChinaTalk @jordanschnyc podcast with @MikeforWI exploring his perspectives on the broader issues in Congress, the enduring relevance of the early Cold War, and lessons from his experiences in Iraq and the Eisenhower Archives: loom.ly/mcjVm9w
"Births in China are in free fall: Totaling 17.86 million in 2016, they slid to 9.56 million in 2022, a roughly 50 percent decline in six years." Excellent analysis by @CSIS_Interpret @CSIS experts on China's demographic challenges: loom.ly/R5yenG0
“Using facial-recognition technology and mobile-phone data [China] identified, interrogated and arrested” white-paper protestors. Great article outlining the impact of China’s “zero-covid” policy and ensuing protests. @TheEconomist: loom.ly/9NjLEOg
In this @TIME article on Taiwan’s balancing act with China, I argue that countries might be really reluctant to sanction Beijing if that stands in the way of them getting access to those semiconductors. Check out the full article by @CharlieCamp6ell. loom.ly/xkCWDiM
What’s in store for the future of Chinese diplomacy? Well, this fantastic @thediplomat piece argues that Chinese diplomats have become nothing more than “faithful envoy[s]” of Xi Jinping: loom.ly/l4r4ymM
The United States and China are at “critical odds” on how AI can— and should— be used in conjunction with military force. I discuss the nuances of automating nuclear systems in this excellent @asiatimesonline article: loom.ly/cIAQUEE
APARC Fellows Tom Fingar, @MarcielScot, and @osmastro analyze the outcomes of #APEC2023, the implications of the Biden-Xi meeting, U.S.-Indonesia relations, and other key geopolitical issues shaping the Asia-Pacific region. Get their expert commentary ⬇️ stanford.io/46B6YB0
"Biden and Xi are like a couple who've decided to get divorced, but they show up at Thanksgiving and still haven't told any of their family members. I would not be reassured if I were the rest of the world." — @osmastro ow.ly/6Vg950Qcbl7
I was recently invited on @BBC5live @BBC to discuss Xi-Biden meeting at the APEC summit. Two leaders discussed regional & global issues expressing a desire for better relations. But, deep-seated differences must be addressed formally before any progress. loom.ly/5YpCzbo
In my recent interview (in Chinese) with @VOAChinese, I argued that the Xi-Biden visit was definitely important, but it's only the first step to improve the relationship. loom.ly/Et0fsik
I recently joined @CarolineHydeTV and @EdLudlow to discuss why China and the US need to be able to collaborate, and why I believe China will be thinking of new ways to exploit its competitive advantage. @technology @BloombergTV bloomberg.com/news/videos/20…
In my latest discussion with @NikkeiAsia, I assert that the Xi-Biden meeting was to signal some sort of global stability. I think this may fall short for long-term assurance. I would not be reassured yet if I were the rest of the world. loom.ly/jbApFw8
Beijing is trying to position itself as a security player globally. @TIME @CharlieCamp6ell As we saw in the recent Xi-Biden meeting, Xi Jinping did move beyond just discussing regional issues to make some statements about global issues as well. loom.ly/DPBQN0I
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43K Followers 48K Following Professor of Strategy @NavalWarCollege/@ChinaMaritime Studies Institute. Visiting Scholar @Harvard/@FairbankCenter. Member @CFR_org. Dad.
Eric Sayers @DEricSayers
15K Followers 5K Following Nonresident Fellow at @AEIfdp and @PacificForum board member. Former @INDOPACOM, @SASCGOP. @RSIS_NTU and @WesternU.
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Collin Koh 🇸🇬�.. @CollinSLKoh
38K Followers 4K Following Indo-Pacific naval affairs, maritime security, mainly SE Asia and SCS. *Tweets/RTs STRICTLY personal: sometimes caustic remarks, occasionally unserious.
Paul Triolo @pstAsiatech
22K Followers 989 Following Unflinching look @ nexus: tech/politics. Digital Econ, Semis, AI, Greentech, Partner, SVP China/Tech Policy Lead @ASG DGA. CFR, @PaulsonInst @CSIS @ChatGPT
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Zack Cooper @ZackCooper
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Lev Nachman @lnachman32
21K Followers 4K Following Political scientist. Assistant Professor @nccu1927. My book "Taiwan: A Contested Democracy Under Threat" is available here: https://t.co/5RjbCwDjAA
Mary Gallagher @MaryGao
15K Followers 2K Following Director, International Institute and Professor of Political Science, the University of Michigan; former director, Lieberthal-Rogel Center for Chinese Studies
Tony Stark @Iron_Man_Actual
8K Followers 538 Following NatSec. Tech. China. Creator of Breaking Beijing. Author of EX SUPRA, the story of the war after the next war. Buy it here: https://t.co/0DGYVEpXqP?…
a▪︎m▪︎d 👁 .. @thedelphivision
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【ﾝﾙﾇｿ😼�.. @IR_purinpurin
2K Followers 4K Following 某国立外国語大→某私大で修士（国際政治学）を頂戴し博士課程へ進学準備中の者です。他には戦略論、欧州国際関係（史）や政治思想、国際法、法哲学に関心。東京外国語大学法学研究会丹法会所属。部活等で剣道やボードゲームも少々やってました。【趣味・日常・身内話や妄言多め→適宜ミュートを🙇♂️。RTは同意を示すとは限りません】
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Security Studies @SecStudies_Jrnl
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SAIS The North Africa.. @NAI_SAIS
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1K Followers 4K Following To old to be happy, to young to be afraid of new start Husband, father, son, brother, uncle. Wait for more.
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107K Followers 856 Following Managing Director, Indo-Pacific Program, German Marshall Fund @GMFAsia, China, Indo-Pac, Europe-China, RT≠ endorsement. Mute/block bots & all nasty tweets.
Elbridge Colby @ElbridgeColby
62K Followers 4K Following Principal, Marathon Initiative. Former Pentagon, 2018 National Defense Strategy, inter alia. Author of Strategy of Denial. Views my own.
Evan Feigenbaum @EvanFeigenbaum
35K Followers 8K Following Vice President @CarnegieEndow; twice US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State; former James R. Schlesinger Distinguished Professor @Miller_Center; Asia's future.
Tom Shugart @tshugart3
30K Followers 725 Following Defense analyst, former submariner, pilot. @cnasdc Adjunct Senior Fellow. Founder, Archer Strategic Consulting. Opinions my own. RT=/=endorsement.
Andrew Erickson 艾�.. @AndrewSErickson
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Eric Sayers @DEricSayers
15K Followers 5K Following Nonresident Fellow at @AEIfdp and @PacificForum board member. Former @INDOPACOM, @SASCGOP. @RSIS_NTU and @WesternU.
Victor Shih @vshih2
58K Followers 4K Following Director of 21st Century China Center and Ho Miu Lam Chair at GPS of UCSD. Expert of Chinese elite politics, economy, and finance. RT does not mean endorsement.
Collin Koh 🇸🇬�.. @CollinSLKoh
38K Followers 4K Following Indo-Pacific naval affairs, maritime security, mainly SE Asia and SCS. *Tweets/RTs STRICTLY personal: sometimes caustic remarks, occasionally unserious.
Ryan Hass @ryanl_hass
28K Followers 1K Following Brookings scholar on China, Taiwan, Asia. Sr Advisor at The Scowcroft Group, McLarty Associates. Husband to Meredith and father of four. Author of “Stronger.”
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17K Followers 1K Following Tweets on Asian security. Senior Fellow @AEI. Lecturer @PrincetonSPIA. Partner at Armitage Int'l. Wrangler of children. Former Pentagon and White House staffer.
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50K Followers 2K Following Studying China's foreign and security policies @MIT and Director @MIT_SSP. Author of Active Defense: China's Military Strategy Since 1949 https://t.co/9QQCMSgpBh
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45K Followers 2K Following Professor Rory Medcalf AM. Head of National Security College, ANU. Author of Contest for the Indo-Pacific, published internationally as Indo-Pacific Empire
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Interpret: China @CSIS_Interpret
5K Followers 321 Following A CSIS project aimed at facilitating a nuanced understanding of global strategic issues through a library of translated materials matched with expert commentary
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5K Followers 760 Following Senior Research Fellow, National Defense University; adjunct prof., Georgetown. Columbia Ph.D. Studying Chinese military/foreign affairs. Retweets≠endorsement.
chrizap @chrizap
12K Followers 2K Following Digital Foreign Editor @theage @smh https://t.co/5DGvDxiNMw Podcast: "Dark Shining Moment" (Ranieri & Co.) https://t.co/7Nu3qRc1JT
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International Securit.. @IntSecHarvard
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13K Followers 3K Following Distinguished Fellow, China Studies, @NBRnews | Former NatSec 🇫🇷 | #China’s grand strategy. Usual disclaimers. Current project: https://t.co/DXrvZKITk9
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Gady Epstein @gadyepstein
66K Followers 4K Following A longform editor at The Economist. Formerly China affairs and media editor. Views expressed may be the opposite of my employer’s
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Peter Mattis @PLMattis
9K Followers 671 Following President @JamestownTweets Ex-@CECCgov @ChinaBriefJT . Co-author - Chinese Communist Espionage: An Intelligence Primer: https://t.co/6yF3iMr0KF. Views still mine
SSI INDOPACOM @SSI_INDOPACOM
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Ali Wyne @Ali_Wyne
13K Followers 8K Following Senior Research and Advocacy Advisor, U.S.-China, @CrisisGroup | Author of “America’s Great-Power Opportunity” (Polity, 2022) | [email protected]
Michael D. Swaine @Dalzell60
12K Followers 388 Following Senior Research Fellow at @quincyinst for Responsible Statecraft
Rush Doshi @RushDoshi
23K Followers 4K Following Director & Sr. Fellow, CFR China Strategy Initiative • Incoming Asst Professor, Georgetown SFS • Former Deputy SD for China, Biden NSC • Author of The Long Game
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8K Followers 432 Following diplomat/farmer/globalist, China geek, high on responsibility and getting to yes. UPBEAT is Better!
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12K Followers 2K Following Professor of Politics and International Affairs Princeton University, Non-Resident Senior Fellow @AEI
Vipin Narang @NarangVipin
57K Followers 2K Following Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Space Policy (Space/Missile Defense & Nuclear/CWMD) | Stanton Professor of Nuclear Security @MIT (on leave)
Erin Baggott Carter @baggottcarter
3K Followers 583 Following Assistant Professor @USC, Hoover Fellow @HooverInst. Author, Propaganda in Autocracies (https://t.co/6IdkRHbO9s).
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4K Followers 2K Following Author, TRAFFICKING DATA, Nov 22 @OUPAcademic | HOLLYWOOD MADE IN CHINA @ucpress | @UVA @MediaStudies, @Miller_Center Prof | @AbeFellowship @BakerInstitute
Marie Kondo @MarieKondo
155K Followers 91 Following Tidying expert, bestselling author, star of Netflix's hit show, "Tidying Up With Marie Kondo," and founder of @konmari_co. https://t.co/RkP7q5JIDu
Elsa B. Kania @EBKania
20K Followers 11K Following ABD @HarvardGovernm1 (on leave/traveling scholar) |Adjunct @CNAStech| U.S./China strategy, technology, and defense innovation| views my own; always learning
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6K Followers 1K Following Senior Fellow and Director of the Defense Program @CNASdc. Adjunct prof @SAISStrat. Usual caveats.
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3K Followers 2K Following Associate Professor @BostonCollege Affiliate @MIT_SSP Middle East politics, political violence, rebels and civil war, IR/CP, Boston sports, yet an optimist
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9K Followers 5K Following Public Policy & Comms @PalantirTech. Prev @CarnegieEndow @BelferCenter. Personal account, views my own. RT/F≠endorsement.
CFR Asia Program @CFR_Asia
9K Followers 513 Following @CFR_org’s Asia Program informs policymakers & the public about the complex challenges facing the world’s largest continent. Follows, RTs ≠ endorsements.
J Strategic Studies @jststs
10K Followers 1K Following The Journal of Strategic Studies is a leading, peer-reviewed journal committed to multi-disciplinary approaches to the study of international conflict.
.@osmastro & @arzandc in 2020 on India-China. "The balance is asymmetric but uneven—China enjoys overall advantages in having a larger, better-resourced, more modernized...force, but this may not translate into superiority in every scenario" taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/…
This @ForeignPolicy article cites several Interpreter assessments, from @osmastro, @dliliansa and @EvanLaksmana. Always great to see the enduring quality of these @LowyInstitute articles. foreignpolicy.com/2023/05/31/us-…
I am so excited to share that my @OUPPolitics @OUPHistory book "Trafficking Data" was honored by @AxiomAwards along with terrific authors like @AgatheDemarai, @Julie_WG, @jacobhelberg , @Chris_Marquis_ & Kunyuan Qiao See the whole list here: buff.ly/43mLBCS @AxiomAwards
So immensely proud of my better half, *Dr.* Jennifer Mcardle @jlmcardle01 I’ve always envied Finland’s custom of giving swords to freshly minted PHDs & decided to follow our new NATO ally’s excellent tradition.
Xi Jinping plans for China's military to be "fully modern" by 2027. I ask @osmastro about what it means for Taiwan and what the US and its allies need to do to prevent another hot war from brewing. endgame.id/orianamastro
Glad to be quoted in this piece alongside @osmastro. Thanks to @CharlieCamp6ell for reaching out!
With as much criticism the US has given China over the spy balloon, other Asian countries are not as surprised. Glad to be quoted in @CharlieCamp6ell's piece in @TIME last week on the matter. loom.ly/itoXqGU
🧵on revisionism, dissatisfaction w/the status quo, and intentions, with a focus on the rise of 🇨🇳: @LorenzoTerm engaging w/@osmastro and others. This important little corner of IR research is developing quickly. To keep up, be sure to follow Lorenzo & the others tagged here!✅
I have shamefully just found out this incredibly thought-provoking article by @osmastro on conceptual fuzziness around #intentions in #IR. This would have saved me much headache last year both for my #PhD and the article in #OC on #China's rise and #revisionism. [Thread]
Good episode and discussion.
I sat down with Lawfare’s legal fellow @SaraphinD to discuss the growing military tensions between the US and China over Taiwan. Check out the @lawfarepodcast below. loom.ly/7YAVjuc
For a refresher, here's a good analysis by @osmastro on the exercises and what they meant. economist.com/by-invitation/…
One of my objectives in 2023 is to learn R. Does anyone know of a course or a book for beginner-beginners?
Don't miss this excellent opportunity to work with Center Fellow @osmastro on her book project that illuminates how #China builds power and other major ongoing research initiatives on deterrence and escalation over #Taiwan and the #ChinaRussia military relationship. Apply ⬇️
I am thrilled to announce I’m hiring a full- time research assistant. The perfect job for a new graduate interested in China security issues: careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/social-sc….
@MikeCarlton01 Mike, this lady is from @AEI and was quoted in the @4corners piece a few weeks ago and does participate with @LowyInstitute etc and I met her 4 yrs ago. Her Chinese is pretty good, and she does understand Taiwan's history.
In light of the recent protests in China, take a look at this article from @vwang3 discussing frustration, uncertainty, and the events unfolding on the ground across the country @nytimes. loom.ly/bv_gy6M
On my reading list:
Take a look at my recent article “Reassurance and Deterrence in Asia,” in Security Studies, where I discuss America’s ability to deter China and reassure its allies in the Indo-Pacific. loom.ly/BxDNp6g
Thank you, Oriana. I just notice lately the discussion from US colleagues. I'm glad it helps you to understand China's perceptions on this war.
I was one of the experts invited by @CSIS_Interpret to analyze an article by the Chinese academic Zuo Xiying. Zuo's article is valuable for its balanced discussion of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the explicit links he draws between Ukraine and Taiwan. interpret.csis.org/can-the-us-det…
@ForeignAffairs @osmastro @DerekScissors1 Great work by @NCUSCR PIP fellow @osmastro !
Comrade Xi Jinping said to be unconcerned by leaked image of him Partying.
@AmandaMurdie One other comment. If a journal has rejected my work for 20+ years, I don't owe it anything on the review side in my opinion, especially if I don't submit anything there.
On Sunday 8/07, our Chair, @SusanShirk1 joined by @osmastro, Political scientist @Stanford & @AEI, @RichardHaass, president of @CFR_org, to discuss the U.S.-China tensions rise over #Taiwan on @CNN's GPS with @FareedZakaria. Take a listen: ow.ly/5j2350KfohH
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