Ben Noll @BenNollWeather
Meteorologist, National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, New Zealand | Climate science | Maps | #HudsonValley snow days | Tweets mine bennollweather.com Auckland, New Zealand Joined December 2013-
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It may be cool in your corner of the world, but a large proportion of the planet is experiencing excessive heat, especially in the tropical band 🔥 This map highlights areas (🔴) where temperatures during April were above the 99th percentile for the month (very unusually warm /…
🗣️ For the first time since last October, it has reached 80 degrees in the #HudsonValley!
What a difference a week makes: the #HudsonValley will go from having lows in the 20s this past week to highs in the 70s (and maybe 80s) this coming week 🎢 It comes as a high pressure system is setting up shop over the Southeast U.S., drawing warm air up from Texas initially…
Spring "leaf out" is a solid 1-3+ weeks ahead of schedule (🟢) across the central states & some eastern states 🌳 A combination of wet & relatively warm conditions has done the trick. Sneezy season is definitely upon us: pollen counts are going up! 📈
😎 I am monitoring the potential for it to reach 80 degrees in the #HudsonValley next week!
The Niño 1+2 Index in the far eastern Pacific recently dipped to -0.8˚C 📉 Sub-surface ocean waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific are *4-6˚C below average* — oceanic Kelvin Wave activity and periodic trade wind enhancements should see this cold pool move toward the ocean…
I think most of the #HudsonValley would sign up for a bit of cool weather if it meant that there wouldn’t be much rain. Am I right? Many of us would probably favor some proper “spring weather” rather than surging directly into summer-like heat. It seems Mother Nature’s tantrum…
Have you ever seen a coral that looks like a brain? 🧠 It’s called, as you could have guessed, “brain coral”. It’s so smart that it knows how to live for up to 900 years 🤓
Have you ever seen a blue sea star⁉️ They live in the shallow waters of the tropical Indo-Pacific region & enjoy sunny areas of reef systems 🌟 I spotted this one on the Coral Coast, Fiji.
The key El Niño monitoring region in the central Pacific, Niño 3.4, recently recorded an anomaly of *less than* +0.5˚C for the first time since May 2023. Oceanic El Niño continues to fade 📉 Convective forcing will favor the Atlantic instead of the Pacific in the months ahead.
If you are thinking of traveling overseas, the tropical South Pacific has a lot to offer! 🌴 The dry season runs from May-October, while the wet (cyclone) season is from November-April. I’m here to help Pacific Island meteorological services with the six month climate outlook.
Sustained warmth is not yet in Mother Nature’s plans for the #HudsonValley, but Monday-Wednesday isn’t looking too bad... After the chance for a gusty shower or thunderstorm in the region this (Sunday) afternoon or evening, Monday and Tuesday look to be the warmest days of the…
🌴 Today’s work location: @FJMETservice! Going for a high of 90 and a maximum dew point of 80 🥵
The latest ECMWF+UKMET "superblend" for the heart of hurricane season continues to suggest a very active pattern in the Atlantic. It seems to favor east-to-west tracks & not recurving systems. Above normal precipitation covers the Gulf of Mexico & Southeast... @hurricanetrack
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@BenNollWeather Per ERSSTv5, the western Mediterranean has spent most of the time since Jul 2022 at over +1.5 sigma, at times over +2.5. The eastern half has been more varied but with higher peaks, at times reaching +3 sigma.
Privileged to support the 14th Pacific Islands Climate Outlook Forum alongside Pacific colleagues old & new- it’s evolved so much since our first #PICOF 10 years ago! @niwa_nz meteorologist @BenNollWeather presented the outlook for the season ahead 🌦️🏝️
#PICOF14: many thanks to all of the presenters, participants & support agencies that dedicate significant time, energy & resources toward building awareness around climate extremes, variability & change that is affecting the Pacific region, its people & its ecosystems.
Perhaps I should put my area of expertise in the posts going forward. Not only do I know what cloud seeding is and teach about it in cloud microphysics units, I worked with one of the early pioneers to study it...
@DrShepherd2013 Cloud seeding has been around a long time. Utah, N Dakota, have been using it since 70's! 11 states use the process. Studies say its adding precipitation to an already existing cloud, we can NOT make clouds. How much precip it adds, is debatable. This is not a DARPA conspiracy.
The massive rain bomb in #Dubai - 6”- almost 2 years of rain in a day, was due to a very blocked pattern and slow moving southern jet stream with embedded disturbances. That’s the primary cause. Could cloud “seeding” have enhanced it? Maybe, but something else was going on… 1/
A great example of regional collaboration for a more resilient #Pacific through coordinated climate services. @niwa_nz has been a proud partner in RCC since it was formed. Congrats to @BenNollWeather who was elected Vice-chair of the Group last week!
The #Pacific Regional Climate Centre Network - @pacific_rcc Management Committee maps way forward for improved climate services 🌏 Read more ➡️tinyurl.com/mvppvwt4 #ResilientPacific
Good to write this piece that comes out from Radio New Zealand International News yesterday and Fiji times today.
In the Pacific, our relationship with nature is a natural one. Nature is us, we are nature. @SprepChannel rnz.co.nz/international/…
@BenNollWeather @pacific_rcc You’ll get no shortage of interest I’m sure. Columbia’s MA in Climate and Society (because it’s part of Lamont) spends a ton of time on seasonal forecasting related content for developing nations/ Ag / risk etc…
Coming down nicely in Chester/Goshen #HudsonValley
@BenNollWeather @Weather_West Also worth watching are developing Arctic heat, ongoing marine heatwave in the NW Pacific, and re-emerging cold pool south of Greenland. There’s a lot more going on besides ENSO with major weather impacts!
My 8 year old daughter drew this for me as we are flying back from Maine. She’s so perceptive. Especially love the “world is ending” bubble. I’m moved that she’ll remember this for the rest of her life!
@BenNollWeather Thanks @BenNollWeather . Hope you & your team are safe from the staff cuts going on in Niwa . I feel for all affected at @niwa_nz . Had my boss lose his job a year before I retired due to cuts, it is a dreadful thing for one's self confidence.
@BenNollWeather Through a colander lmao
@BenNollWeather And of course water vapour is a greenhouse gas, so it’s a positive feedback effect that leads to further warming and more moisture.
Las tonalidades azules (en el recuadro donde medimos El Niño/La Niña Costeros) muestran entre marzo y abril el final del evento #NiñoCostero. Además de ello, la continuidad hacia el oeste sobre la franja ecuatorial de las tonalidades azules (aguas más frías que lo habitual) el…
Highest April forecast ever for CSU.
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