Chesapeake @ChesapeakeTweet
Systematic trend following + nothing strategies investing in stocks, FI, commodities, FX, long & short, everywhere. chesapeakecapital.com Tampa, FL Joined January 2016-
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Jerry Parker with @FuturesBenL discuss technical trends to monitor in today’s market. He talks about how Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index hit a record high for the first time since 1989. He then looks at recent Bitcoin (BTC) price activity. @SchwabNetwork schwabnetwork.com/video/s-p-500-…
I will post the result and here is a question with regard to position sizing. Any ideas folks ? Two traders Eli and Phil trading with $1m each. They make 30 trades, buy and sell at the same time and using same entry/exit prices. Half of the trades produce 30% gain, the other…
New transparent active ETF filed Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETF ticker/fees tba | Eff Jun 26 Chesapeake Program: Trend-following systematic trading strategy: Derivatives strategy, a long-short strategy, and a cash strategy. Sub-advisers: Chesapeake Capital…
Set a reminder for my upcoming Space! x.com/i/spaces/1plkq…
I’m going to @rjparkerjr09’s upcoming Space. Will you join too? x.com/i/spaces/1odjr…
The primacy of the TRADE, not the equity or period RORs. #classictrendfollowing
What does a Classic Trend Follower mean when they refer to ‘warehousing risk’? 1/ There is a general market principle when it comes to risk. “Risk can never be removed, but it can be transferred”.
Impressive results using CTAs as overlays. Because CTAs have near zero corr with 60/40 and both have Sharpe of 0.85, 100/100% of both yields 0.85*sqrt(2)=1.19, as reported I made a similar research & same result (sqrt(2) multiple) for different period hedgenordic.com/2020/06/60-40-…
Impressive results using CTAs as overlays. Because CTAs have near zero corr with 60/40 and both have Sharpe of 0.85, 100/100% of both yields 0.85*sqrt(2)=1.19, as reported I made a similar research & same result (sqrt(2) multiple) for different period hedgenordic.com/2020/06/60-40-…
@CliffordAsness Smart kids thinking that quantitative investing is all about making a better mousetrap. Refreshing. Wish I didn't know now what I didn't know then.
I'm discussing Trend Following Trading today, Jan 21 at 8:00 AM EST in @Clubhouse. Join us! clubhouse.com/event/mZqNG98w…
Trend following trading club, Friday, Jan 14 at 8:00 AM EST in @Clubhouse. Join us! clubhouse.com/event/m7KawZ8X
Happy New Year trend following traders! clubhouse.com/room/MKDDowJm
It is pretty easy to improve backtest results by telling your system to, in retrospect, take windfall profits at the peak. And that is exactly what optimising for the best profit target is doing. #profittargeting
Trend Following Trading tomorrow, Jul 2 at 10:00 AM EDT on @Clubhouse. Join us! clubhouse.com/event/xBzN3Lk7
The % of workers in the US quitting their jobs has never been higher. Charting via @ycharts
Good video:
Join me in The Trend Following Club on Clubhouse. clubhouse.com/join/trend-fol…
The most successful investors, those who made the most money, all had one thing in common: the presence of a couple of big winners in their portfolios. Any approach that does not embrace the possibility of winning big is doomed. Lee Freeman-Shor
2019
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The trend is your friend until it fake-ends, goes sideways, fakes down again, stops you out, then rockets higher without you.
Finding ETFs that capture growth but offer protection for this environment of sticky inflation 🛡️ @MurphyCinthia walks through some funds that can meet this level of diversification for investors. 📊 $TFPN $DARP $SGPG
Episode 18 is out! @rjparkerjr09 and I discuss the move in cocoa, but also how important it is to focus on your own trading -- not on others (how they trade or how they're performing). Do your thing. Learn the good/bad of what you do. Fall in love with it and live it everyday.…
"Those who trade hundreds of markets incl. cocoa are not outperforming those who trade fewer markets. If you trade 3-400 markets your exposure to any one of those markets, even with a 200% cocoa move, is not going to make a big difference." Of course, and someone who only trades…
This is why #trendfollowing is the only viable investment method IMO. Narratives change.
Two years ago, if you said the Fed would raise rates to 5.25% and homebuilders would gain +50% no one would believe you. Because in the last cycle when the Fed rate hit 5.25% homebuilders were down -50%. The net effect of Fed rate hikes in this cycle is to increase asset prices…
Imagine two people. Person A put all of their money in the S&P 500 10 years ago. Person B put all of their money in Bitcoin 10 years ago. Person A's portfolio is at an all-time high today. Person B's portfolio is 13% off its high.
@rjparkerjr09 @ChesapeakeTweet @gfc4 Always enjoyed host Louis Rukeyser's sense of humor.
“They offer a level of diversification around “4-5x” that of a typical CTA strategy. Our low correlation is a huge boost. It’s Miracle-Gro for risk-adjusted returns. Risk-adjusted performance is equal to breadth x skill. The opportunities are better, the trends tend to be better,…
The “secret sauce” of pure #trendfollowing and what makes the Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asset Trend ETF (ticker: $TFPN) unique is that it adds…nothing. Yup, that’s right. Learn more about the nothing in this @FAMagazine Q&A featuring @rjparkerjr09 and Jon Robinson.…
Jerry Parker with @FuturesBenL discuss technical trends to monitor in today’s market. He talks about how Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index hit a record high for the first time since 1989. He then looks at recent Bitcoin (BTC) price activity. @SchwabNetwork schwabnetwork.com/video/s-p-500-…
1/ I was looking forward to getting Bowmoor Capital on the podcast as their approach to trading trends is common and uncommon at the same time. toptradersunplugged.com/podcast/richar…
In our trend following world, watch out for risk metrics that do not consider the path of returns. This can seriously jeopardise compounded wealth. The graph below shows two return paths with the same Sharpe ratio. This illustrates that even with significantly different return…
@RichB118 These days people are showing a lot of concern that markets are different and trend-following methods no longer work. I recall, in the old days, people showing a lot of concern that markets are different and trend-following methods no longer work.
Looking for the obese pitch... man.com/maninstitute/r…
Want to catch the big trend trades? In this short clip, @RichB118 discusses how he achieves nonlinear outcomes...
@ClosedFormJest There are alternative geometries to the straight line which maximise wealth. Divergent strategies with beneficial vol can produce a stepped equity curve yet are penalised by Sharpe. In our divergent nonlinear world, Sharpe falls short and is an unsatisfactory measure for the tail…
Congratulations to Paul Mulvaney, who hit it to the moon in 2023. A real Outlier in the small class of Outlier Hunters.
Last night, no one at @MIT had a good night’s sleep. Yesterday evening, shortly after I posted that we were launching a plagiarism review of all current MIT faculty, President Kornbluth, members of MIT’s administration, and its board, I am sure that an audible collective gasp…
The reporter told Fran that she was going to publish her story shortly thereafter that evening so it was clear to the reporter and to us that we would not have time to respond. In one of my previous posts, I got some of the timing slightly wrong. It was worse than I thought.…
Trends for United States
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