Cut through the noise with economic commentary, filtered through 25 years of learning. Worked with hundreds of businesses, primarily in US. PNWJoined July 2025
Per the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index (CSUSHPINSA on the St. Louis Fed's FRED database) the average annual return on US real estate from 1987 to present is around +4.4%. And, as I understand it, that is before considering various costs of housing like…
Years of declining unit sales, i.e. quantity of goods are culminating in paper mill closures. Econ 102: look beyond the $ sales, also watch the quantity of goods.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Goldman Sachs doubles down on tariff research that infuriated Trump, saying average Americans will bear two-thirds of the costs fortune.com/2025/08/13/gol…
Welcome to the Corporate Revolution.
It’s the mortgage a laid-off dad can’t pay.
It’s in the insulin a diabetic mom is now rationing.
It’s in the family moving into a one-bedroom because their “remote-friendly” job got offshored.
The real cost of corporate “efficiency” isn’t…
BNPL use among low-wage workers is nearly 7x higher than payday loan use.
BNPL: 10.64%
Payday loans: 1.56%
Source: Washington University Center for Social Development – June 2025 Policy Brief 2/8 🧵
Job loss in America just got real.
806K+ job cuts this year so far.
Tens of thousands... caused by AI.
For reference, 2024's full year total was 761,358.
Entry-level corporate hiring down 15% YoY.
They told you AI would “create new jobs.” I'm not seeing this yet.
Not counting the pandemic, the unemployment rate is at its highest since:
- December 2014 for college graduates
- August 2014 for young graduates (ages 25–34)
- July 2013 for those with a master’s degree
It’s hard to find a trend in the electricity system right now that *doesn’t* point to near-term price increases if not a broad affordability crisis. The setup is bad and getting worse. I wrote about it for @heatmap_news:
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