FinanceGuy @Finance_N_Fun
I only invest in the S&P500 and Nasdaq100. Everything else on here is for fun. Joined June 2019-
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FinanceGuy retweeted
A 23-page research paper reveals the number 1 method Hedge Funds use to beat the market: Time Series Momentum This is how: 🧵
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FinanceGuy retweeted
This is concerning: US aggregate weekly hours worked has fallen -0.2% over the last 3 months, the largest decline since the 2020 pandemic. This indicator measures the total hours employees work in a week, reflecting overall labor market activity. A drop in hours often…
FinanceGuy retweeted
What's been more bullish in the past: rate cuts or rate hikes? The answer will surprise you... Video discussion: youtube.com/watch?v=nuDXtH…
FinanceGuy retweeted
Fake it till you make it is an underrated trick
FinanceGuy retweeted
Stocks are “pornographically” overvalued, right when the economy is slowing down substantially, warns Chris Irons of Quoth The Raven's Fringe Finance @QTRResearch Today was his 1st appearance on @thoughtfulmoney & he did not disappoint WATCH: youtu.be/Fpm4OSf-Xfo
FinanceGuy retweeted
Meanwhile, JP Morgan is modeling when will Labubus peak
FinanceGuy retweeted
At 4.3%, the US Unemployment Rate is now 0.9% above the cycle low from April 2023 (3.4%). Historically, a recession has started on average 3 months before that 0.9% move higher in the Unemployment Rate. Are we headed for a recession or is this time different?
FinanceGuy retweeted
On Aug. 29, the St. Louis Fed Economic News Index was projecting Q3 real GDP growth of 0.54% at an annual rate, up from the previous week’s projection of 0.37%. The index uses economic content from key monthly data releases to estimate GDP growth bit.ly/4g4ewm2
FinanceGuy retweeted
International stocks are on pace for their best year since 2009 (world ex-US +22% YTD). The Eurozone is leading all regions (+30% YTD), on pace for its best year since 2003. The top country performer? Greece (+74%). Video: youtube.com/watch?v=y-XQbm…
FinanceGuy retweeted
Global Central Bank Update: -Russia cut rates for the 2nd straight meeting, 200 bps move down to 18%. bilello.blog/newsletter
FinanceGuy retweeted
BUY SIGNAL from May 13 instances (1957) with negative 12-month moving average cross under. FALSE cross under signaled by failure of Momentum Indicator to dip below threshold, consistent w/2025 technical bear market failed to deliver SELL signal or sustained downtrend. $SPX…
FinanceGuy retweeted
Not exactly a flight to safety.
FinanceGuy retweeted
If vaccines really cause autism why doesn’t the US have better trains
FinanceGuy retweeted
The best performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 5, 10, 15, and 20 years... bilello.blog/newsletter
FinanceGuy retweeted
If global oil demand reaches ~106 million b/d. Saudi is producing 10.5 million b/d. And US crude oil production is 12.5 million b/d. "Sell your kidney" and buy energy stocks. For now, we are: - 104.3 million b/d demand - 9.3 million b/d Saudi - 12.85 million b/d US
FinanceGuy retweeted
Every recession in the last 35 years started with a violent drop in the 2-year yield. We’re not there yet, but we’re dancing on the edge. The 10Y-2Y spread is bull-steepening. If the 2Y breaks lower, it signals the Fed has lost control. That’s your cue. Watch it closely.
Chat GPT's picture depiction of Iran and Israel coming to a deal. I hope this happens in real life. The USA pin is a funny touch.
FinanceGuy retweeted
this quarter doesn't exactly look like the defensive rotation that we were promised
FinanceGuy retweeted
With 99% of companies reported, S&P 500 1st quarter operating earnings are up 5% over the prior year, the 9th consecutive quarter of positive YoY growth. $SPX youtube.com/channel/UCRoWR…
FinanceGuy retweeted
Most media are owned by public companies. Thus, they have a fiduciary duty to maximize value for their stock owners. They do this by selling ads. They sell ads based on eyeballs. They get more eyeballs by sensationalizing. Keeping this in mind provides perspective.
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