JamieIndex @Jamie_Index
The Jamie Index (the rupture index) is a multidimensional social index designed to calculate geopolitical breakdown. Developed by Jamie Coats, British jamieindex.com Brazil Joined March 2026-
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Are you a dupe if you talk about nuclear weapons? This month Moscow, Vučić, Marjorie Taylor Greene and The Elders raised the bomb. Threats tell us Moscow's mood; deterrence, whether it holds. Please watch Putin. But also watch who is meant to stop him. jamieindex.substack.com/p/are-you-a-du…
Pouring diesel on peace? Since 1980 the rule has been: get between the USA and cheap oil at your peril. Now the man at the pump is the President, and he is buying Russian diesel. The Jamie Index rose to 88, a fifth Critical reading. #JamieIndex jamieindex.substack.com/p/pouring-dies…
Did DEFCON 3 stop Moscow? 24 October 1973: Brezhnev threatened to send troops. Nixon, facing impeachment, was not woken. The USA went to DEFCON 3 and no troops came. If President Trump is impeached, who holds the line? jamieindex.substack.com/p/did-defcon-3…
Is Uncle Sam playing Russian roulette? At the United Nations, Juan Manuel Santos of The Elders sent one line: Might is not right. That week Washington and Moscow both said the opposite. So when the USA wounds itself, who will come to its help? jamieindex.substack.com/p/is-uncle-sam…
@elonmusk interesting to hear you on the Economist. You mentioned the downside of nuclear war, interested to know how you think that risk can be lowered because obviously you do think it’s a risk. I am tracking that risk at Jamieindex.com - the indicators need your help!
Rupture - Track It & Know When to Develop a Plan B (Jamie Index) youtu.be/V04wYBbfgKo?si… via @YouTube
youtu.be/V04wYBbfgKo?si… @elonmusk this video works on comments you made that WW3 Nuclear is not zero percent probability.
For 1st time Jamie Index reads CRITICAL: 82 — up 4 points in a month. Move came from Russia's side: the first drone casualties on NATO soil, as the US quietly drew back from NATO. Roughly 2.6× the Cuban Missile Crisis calibration. Full read jamieindex.substack.com/p/it-is-now-a-…
Here is the latest update of the Jamie Index. The Index is continuing to rise due to increased USA fracture and is currently two points from critical (80). Once the critical point arrives resolution without violence becomes more difficult. jamieindex.substack.com/p/two-points-f… #ww3 @kcimc
@elonmusk noted in a comment recently that nuclear war is "not a zero probability." This new book helps you calculate that probability and understand beneath the news what is rupturing and what is not. a.co/d/0a295kri #rupture #putin #trump #
I was saddened to hear of the White House Correspondents' Dinner shooting. Relieved no one hurt, especially DJT. I explore the vulnerability of the USA in relation to Russia and explain why I care that the President peacefully completes his term of office jamieindex.substack.com/p/why-we-shoul…
Two indexes converge. The Jamie Index build off the Cuban Missile Crisis & the Civil War Net Score builds off English & US Civil Wars. Current trajectories point to a "Rupture Window" in about a year's time. This is not a prediction but an estimate. jamieindex.substack.com/p/the-rupture-…
Launch of a companion index to the Jamie Index - the Civil War Net Score that looks at 400 years of history to estimate how close currently the USA is to civil war. sion. jamieindex.substack.com Not looking good USA.
Will the US Military Disobey? Jamie Index up 4 points. Change driven by more fracture within the USA, esp. firing of top generals. Russia aggression remained steady. The trajectory of the Index continues to point a serious rupture within the USA. jamieindex.substack.com/p/will-the-us-…
America’s woke/unwoke divide is not a policy disagreement. It is the latest expression of a quasi-religious conflict that has run continuously for 400 years — and that makes it, like all theological conflicts, impossible to resolve .. jamieindex.substack.com/p/the-woke-the…
Senior Investment Banker on Staying Unsurprised and Ahead - jamieindex.substack.com/p/staying-unsu…
jamieindex.substack.com/p/china-watche… This article explores why China is not a primary variable in the Jamie Index that measures geopolitical rupture and is acting as a stabilising global actors at this point in time.
My latest article on Gold - asks about how relevant were the thoughts in October 2024 by @elerianm and Jamie Dimon @jpmorgan to today's situation? jamieindex.substack.com/p/did-gold-jus…
If Wolf and Krugman Are Right About the English Civil War open.substack.com/pub/jamieindex… @paulkrugman @martinwolf_ that it helps current understanding - so for #NoKings day I have worked on their thesis to incorporate the cost of #EpicFury to look at the next 20 months.
substack.com/@jamieindex/no… The latest Jamie Index article explains how I used the Cuban Missile Crisis to calibrate the Index
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