Chris @WeatherSources
Delivering reliable weather sources with a focus on Cyclones(Hurricanes). Hobby weather fan, not a pro. 100% weather data & information to help those seeking it weathersources.com Southeast US Joined July 2019-
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EPAC remains busy 27Aug2026 -“Lala” off to Alaska but likely falls apart soon. -“Karina” likely keeps well offshore similar to recent “Iselle”. -“Lowell” has time to steadily gather strength, maybe another general Hawaii region storm to watch first or second week of September.
Ooff - that’s an incredible amount of dry air in front of 96L Thursday morning. 27Aug2026
Hurricane Lala continues to move further away from Hawaii Wednesday afternoon. All eyes now turn to invest 90e - a developing area Southeast of Hawaii that could bring a repeat to the region this weekend. 19Aug2026
Watches likely coming to Hawaii soon for weekend impacts. 12Aug2026 #HIwx
Tropical Storm Cristobal in the Atlantic between Bermuda and The Azores generally heading East-Northeast. (No threat USA or Caribbean). 12Aug2026
Sun 9Aug2026: EPAC/CPAC: -Area well SW of Mexico 10% formation chance. -Area halfway Mexico / Hawaii 60%. -93c well SE of Hawaii should be monitored for potential impacts this weekend. Some models bring near, others just pass by it.
Sun 9Aug26 ATL -Off NC 10% formation chance & out to sea. -Halfway Africa/Caribbean 20% but hits wall if makes it. Likely rain chances Lesser Antilles this week currently. -Cabo Verde 50% could near NE corner Caribbean late week, but shear awaits, likely turns up at some point.
@iCyclone Weeeeee! [random math and past storm image related to the wobble]
Tropical Storm Bertha in the Gulf. Slowly organizing with wind shear & nearby dry air hindering development. Monday evening 20July2026
@lospilares11 (Per NHC final report). Or need something to create a flow for it to follow. Like water finding an easier path to flow to.
@lospilares11 Need something to turn it. Hilary went between a High and Low pressure: “Hilary turned north-northwestward and accelerated on 19–20 August within the flow between a subtropical ridge over the southern US and a cutoff mid- to upper-level low offshore of the coast of California.”
Radar out of Guam shows calm eye of Super Typhoon BAVI directly over Rota 916am Monday 6July2026 as moves through Mariana Islands. The calm will end shortly as back side starts soon. (Note: gap in radar coverage over Tinian and Saipan)
Super Typhoon BAVI radar image near midnight Sunday evening. July2026
Low may form along front around Monday near NC then swing back into SE US this week. NHC low 20% chance tropical development. Ton of dry air (brown color) around likely limits development & rainfall potential, but we’ll watch especially with 4th festivities near. 27June2026 8pEDT
The sheared mess of TS Arthur. 17June2026
14Jun2026 Atlantic: NHC with 30% chance of brief messy classifiable thing as scattered heavy moisture falls across the Gulf states this week, generally moving Northeast to East. (WPC’s 5-day rainfall potential, inches)
@Manahen1996 @NHC_Pacific Website image error. The tropical storm warning is active. View changes or active under public advisory text links. nhc.noaa.gov
@jimbomulligan @NHC_Pacific For the East Pacific it’s above average (3rd storm avg July 6), but kind of expected for this season with El Niño. nhc.noaa.gov/climo/
@mkv_ty @NHC_Pacific It’s about 1,660 miles from Hawaii, about half between Mexico and HI, moving about 5mph and expected to fall apart in a couple days. Even if it were headed that direction that speed you’d be looking at about 2 weeks travel time. It’s Waaayyy out there in no man’s land. 👍
NOAA/NHC issues annual 2026 Hurricane outlook. Just general guidance on if more or less storms likely for reference. Overall El Niño conditions likely favor more storms in East & Central Pacific (warmer waters) and less storms in Atlantic(higher wind shear). 21May2026
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