Real Macro Watcher @articles_good1
Investor Boston, MA Joined August 2019-
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gonna be writing more stuff here robotjames.substack.com dunno how any of it works yet so there's nothing there at the moment, but i'm smart and pretty and i'm sure i'll work it out
Stanley Druckenmiller is undoubtedly one of the best hedge fund managers of our time This interview is from roughly a decade ago at USC, but remains one of my favorites He discusses why he believes in putting all your eggs in one basket and watching that basket very closely
Putting together a thread-of-threads on options and derivatives. It's kind of hard because I never tag them with the stupid thread symbol (i hate it). If you have others of mine you like can you append them to the end please?
German and EZ rates and FX went nuts last week on the promise of Germany building more tanks and repairing some broken railway lines. This move which was unprecedented in velocity and breadth (FX crosses, terminal rates to above 2%, yield curve sharply steeper, ASW spreads…
FX as an asset class is a weird animal... The underlying currencies have no holding value (i.e., USD only worth is relative to other currencies) and are mostly used for the transmission of cashflows and yield differentials play. So FX vol is kinda 2nd ord deriv on that..
FX as an asset class is a weird animal... The underlying currencies have no holding value (i.e., USD only worth is relative to other currencies) and are mostly used for the transmission of cashflows and yield differentials play. So FX vol is kinda 2nd ord deriv on that..
“Lucky” people follow 4 basic principles: *Spot & take advantage of any opportunities they encounter *Have good intuition about appropriate actions *Have positive expectations = confidence to act. *Have the resilience to deal with adverse events and turn them to their advantage.
Give me your best "Parent Hacks" that you did to improve your child's Education & learning skills! I'll start: I turned "Mental Maths" into a Game. Now my son asks me "to play Maths". I'm claiming that as a Win!💪 👇👇👇
I am NOT an index rebal PM and have never been.. But I spent the early parts of my career in a great index rebal team and (hopefully) have developed a decent understanding of the strategy, and a great respect for the outstanding PMs in the space. Every man must choose his own…
The Fed won’t be rushed ft.com/content/775ad3… via @FT
Not sure if it helps if most of the debt goes to entitlements and stuffs.
There is an active debate over the causes of China's current slowdown (broadly, Xi unchained v. the inevitable unwind of a property bubble). An equally animated debate over the appropriate macro policy response to this slowdown is needed. A new blog cfr.org/blog/can-china…
Cut through the noise. Core PCE is way above target and not much progress is being made: Last 6m: 4.6% 6m to 11/22: 4.6% 6m to 5/22: 5.0% 6m to 11/21: 4.8% 6m to 5/21: 5.1% Average Since 2021: 4.8% Last 6m: 4.6% JP saying not much progress being made simply reflects the data.
China's mounting economic woes are no easy fix, and that's reverberating around the globe. Read The Big Take trib.al/WqUfx7C

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