A big surprise higher in the jobs number today sent U.S. Treasury yields up and gave equities a strong bid to cap off the first few days of Q4. youtu.be/3Rn8Ax4J_Vo
Wednesday gave us an opportunity to boot a couple weak relative strength positions in our Tactical Trend & U.S. Equity ETF portfolios as they traded up towards their down trend lines following the 50bps Fed cut. Check out our weekly video to find out more: youtu.be/37mbQ5YKTKg
While a midweek pivot in markets surprised us a bit with strength in both equities and bonds, we did manage to nibble on some Netherlands exposure in our International portfolios to gain access to the large supporter of semi manufacturers, ASML. youtu.be/Kw3BfBHlLws
As summer & earnings season come to a close, we continue to see an encouraging breakout in breadth among equities & more positive data to lead the Fed towards rate cuts this fall.youtu.be/9Do_SFL4wxg
A bizarre week brought us a wind turbine failure that hurt GE Vernova, while Crowdstrike's debacle may have opened doors for its competitors. Treasury yields also drifted up as the holding pattern on rates will likely persist until after the election. youtu.be/JrQKU5BSD2s
While extremes always revert, they do not always revert completely, so take advantage of compounding growth through long-term investing early. Also look to lock in higher bond yields, as improved inflation news continues to spur the Fed towards rate cuts. youtu.be/K9_9q9-z95A
This week we added to SPEM (SPDRs Emerging Markets) in our International Equity ETF strategy & are on the look out for reasonable entries into more Industrials & Basic Materials. For bonds, Treasury volatility continued, while Muni supply was much lower. youtu.be/ZLMzykseqy4
Join me for a recap on the market conditions and trading decisions that impacted Cumberland Advisors’ primary equity and fixed income investment strategies throughout Q2 2024: youtu.be/DDooOqOjY3U
While cap vs. equal weight performance dispersion grows, watch for money to move towards other areas if extremes are finally maxed out. PCE met month-over-month estimates, but bond markets are likely to be volatile next week due to the July 4th holiday. youtu.be/LNR51iTTkug
This week our eye was on stocks like Nvidia, which is currently responsible for over 30% of S&P 500 performance YTD. Also, Treasury yields crept up Friday after PMI came in stronger than expected, but bond markets continued to cool off overall. youtu.be/z-pGqwjpb8E
With recent Nasdaq strength masking some deterioration in breadth indicators, we're looking to redeploy cash from recent sales across multiple equity strategies. Meanwhile, this week's CPI & PPI reports relieved some pressure on bonds. youtu.be/jdoM7s--W7g
Todd & Shaun fill in for me & John this week to discuss more sideways action in yields, softness in equities & our longer term outlook as we enter the June 1st reinvestment period for Munis. Watch "Fed Spars with Inflation" here: youtu.be/xqkLSIzm9xU
Today we discuss the influence of expectations & positioning in bond & equity markets, how those expectations have kept yields around 4.5% & also led us to placing bets on Industrials in our Tactical Trend strategy. Watch "Fed Fears Falling" here: youtu.be/q4bjuGcLyk0
With major equity indices trading between their 50 & 200 day moving averages, we're keeping our eye on ETFs like GRID, NLR & URA as domestic electricity demands rise, while today's slightly higher jobless rate also provided some relief to Treasuries. youtu.be/W04W_ViOuY8
This week Tech traded up off higher lows YTD & energy continues to hang in there despite natural gas volatility. The fixed income soap opera also continued, as bond yields grinded higher & PCE reported as expected, keeping chances of any rate hikes low.youtu.be/uaWh8Pr7Ygk
This week we found a friend in diversification as Tech/Growth came under fire, while Treasuries continued to be rocked by International conflicts & U.S. economic stats. Join us to discuss what opportunities this volatility can create. youtu.be/igMojk9yPfc
Join me & the Moose for a recap on the market conditions and trading decisions that impacted Cumberland Advisors’ primary equity and fixed income investment strategies throughout Q1 2024. Watch here: youtu.be/wlNTJy6nsYg
With Q2 off to a volatile start, let's focus in on the last 30 days to identify "green beans" and appreciate the recent stickiness of Muni yields as they continued to outperform Treasuries over the past week. Watch "Asset Class Volatility" here: youtu.be/IahylUgyQuA
Check out what sectors we're looking to add to on any weakness, recent consumer data reported by Conference Board showing excessive optimism, and this week's volatility in bond yields as the Fed further weighs the number & timing of rate cuts for 2024.youtu.be/HodWkHZhr-Y
The Moose does a great job flying solo on this week's update while I'm out of the office. Make sure to watch as he covers everything from March's equity sector leaders, the markets' timeline for rate cuts, to baseball! Watch "Let's Play Ball!" here: youtu.be/E9WxoSJwHBE
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