Thomas Grazulis @sigtor2019
significant weather, fun with chain saw on 50 acres, gardening, 4 grandsons, never retire, U-Mass, FSU, Rutgers, Vassar, Rensselaer, LSC , UVM tornadoproject.com Danville, Vermont Joined November 2017-
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Minimal EF4 in Oklahoma after almost 400 EF4 free days. Such a horrible mess across two days, there must have been one EF4 building. No sign of EF5. I'll start counting again on January 1, 2025. Will post an OIS score (1974-2022 book, page 637) (or scores) on Thursday, May 2.
No EF4 or EF5s for 390 days, the third long period of time in history since 1871, when SIGTOR first listed F4/5s. From July, 2004 to Nov, 2005 there were none for 16 months. From April, 2017 to March, 2019 there were none for 2 years. 1871 to 2004 there was one every year.
NO EF4 FOR 377 DAYS. MAYBE ONE NEXT MONDAY OR TUESDAY...THEN THE HEAT DOME OF 2023 TAKES OVER. OIS outbreaks over 30 are now called VERY SIGNIFICANT, following the books lead. I don't like this at all. Summer full of hail ??
6-day forecast shows a front bearing down from the north, heading for the northeastern states eclipse area. BUMMER !
19 years of research on Louisville tornadoes will come up with better numbers, for sure. SIGTOR 1680-1973 WILL HAVE 115 deaths at Louisville in 1890. I knew that 14 ago. Kevin was nice enough to send me a copy of his book.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 Page 637 ... OIS system. Looks like the OIS will hold at 22. No EF4, BUT CLOSE. Significant? Yes. But under 30. Historic only for those affected in OH and IN. No EF4 for 355 days. None in sight.
Tom Grazulis ... tornadoproject.com . Sigtor2022...330 days without an EF4 . COULD ALL CHANGE TODAY. Seems like a significant outbreak for sure. We will know the OIS score in a few days.
Thomas Grazulis @sigtor2019 [email protected] 330 days since the last EF4. Nearing the key month of March. Thanks for the nice remarks about my interview on WeatherBrains. Record breaking weather. Maybe just the start. Warmest December to February winter in history, here.
I enjoyed the trailer and I will enjoy the movie because it's about tornadoes. It ain't that serious yall.
Chasers.. it’s a movie … not real life.. sit back, relax and just enjoy… don’t take everything so seriously!
Twisters trailer is unrealistic. All of the main characters are hot. Realistic is a group of exhausted, nerdy young adults with early onset beer bellies, hair that hasn’t been washed in 4 days, college gear they shouldn’t be wearing, and massive SKYWARN bumper stickers.
NOT READY ! Should be ready in 2 years. If I don't make it, the book with be published by Doris on my premature demise. If I make it to April 2026, the book should be ready with a full index to both books and lots of stats not in SIGTOR 1974-2022 (see tornadoproject.com).
SIGTOR 1974-2022 (see tornadoproject.com) about 300 days since the last EF4. Maybe next month? Maybe next year? No -20 degrees this year in northeast VT. Not even -10. Very very odd. Another maple sap flow in February ?
SIGTOR 1974-2022 ... 256 days since the last EF4 tornado and not much in sight.
SIGTOR 1974-2022 ... 12/10/2023 outbreak looks significant. OIS rating at 15. That's about the 400th or so worst outbreak since 1974. Nashville NWS did a good job rating that mess. Terrible loss in cheap trailers.
SIGTOR BOOKS-- All problems with book protection are solved. We use some peanuts, but 3/4 inch stiff foam corners from Uline, 1/2 inch bubble wrap, and 13" bubble wrap envelope. Slows down shipping process.
SIGTOR BOOKS. Books are here. We sent one preview copy to son in Maine. It arrived damaged. Biofriendly peanuts don't work. They crush. Repacked 2nd one. It was safe. Please order NOW if needed by Christmas. Delays throughout system. First 11 sent from here early today.
SIGTOR 1974-2022: books are printed, bound, packed, and shipped from Ohio. Will arrive here on Thursday. Finally !
Nov 9, 1926: An F3 #tornado moved from near the Potomac River to La Plata. 17 killed, 14 of which occurred at a small school near La Plata. Per @sigtor2019, the school “was lifted, thrown into a grove of trees & blown apart. The body of one child was found in a tree 300 ft away."
Elizabeth Leitman @WxLiz
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Johnson_Wx @225MPH_EF4
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Brandon Copic @BrandonCopicWx
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414 Followers 530 Following meteorologist; AMA→MAF→LUB→TSA. Opinions are my own.
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Josh L @JoshuaLitseyMN
715 Followers 964 Following Hi, I'm Josh and I have a strong passion for weather. I love learning about and tracking storms and I look forward to a future in meteorology. BackTheBlue 👮♀️
Manny Man ☈ The Wea.. @MannysWeather
748 Followers 2K Following 14 | Weather Enthusiast, Future Meteorologist, Chaser. Graphic Creator. Hope To Work On-Camera, WX Producer, or NWS. Christian; Luke 6:27. EAGLES 🦅 #njwx #pawx
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@sigtor2019 A few violent tornadoes happened outside of the US during the 2017-2019 period, and i can remember at least one in China during that 2004-2005 period. I guess it mostly depends on ratings, since some were very rural in the US
Tom Grazulis April 2018 in Chester, VA. This photo shows the mockup copies of Significant Tornadoes that he was working on at that time. I brought my copy of the original book that is used in this picture.
March 20, 1875: The earliest-documented large-scale Southeast outbreak spawned ≥17 tornadoes in four states. @sigtor2019 documented seven possible F4s. Some of these tracks were likely tornado families or had skipping paths. At least 93 people were killed. #wxhistory
Do we really need an EF5 rating? Kinda want to hear yalls thoughts, but if we haven't used that designation in over a decade (and probably for the foreseeable future as long as american houses are too shotty for an American based scale) is it really something that's needed
Pretty random petition here, but, petition anyway to have Starbucks and other roadside coffee depots removed from interstate exit amenity signs when they’re actually located inside of a giant box store like Target. I guess if you know what I mean, you know what I mean.
@Brando_WX Storm Data reported 7 homes were badly damaged. The word "destroyed" was never used. The one picture I found showed walls up in Vandergrift. Sticking with F3. Ted's idea..not mine. No rating given in Storm Data. NSSFC in KC and Chicago didn't exactly get along.
Obviously there are lots of differences between yesterday's event and 3 May 1999, but one thing that stuck out to me in realtime was the apparent focusing of convection initiation in the gaps of cirrus similar to what Thompson and Rogers (2000) noted with May 3rd. 1/n
I gotta say, I’ve always admired Reed Timmer’s chasing career but last night the man who so many young chasers look up to was setting a HORRIBLE example. Several occasions of reckless driving and being north of a tornado that could occlude at any moment… We cannot ignore this.
No. 73 of my Top 100 images. A "landspout" tornado seen near the Colorado and Kansas border in June of 2003. © Warren Faidley - StormChaser.com #tornado #tornadotours #landscapephotography #photography #Colorado #Kansas #landspout
Warning-system improvement since 1950s has reduced such horrible tornado tolls from multiple/year to a few a decade. So why do they still occur? Why do we seem to have reached diminishing returns w/warnings alone? Stephen has studied this a long time & summarizes his findings
Now that I have Internet back at home, here are a few more photos. BTW, the 42.1" of snow melted down to 4.44" of liquid! I definitely would've measured more snow if I had cleared the board every 6 hours instead of 24 as snow like this settles and compacts as it falls. #vtwx
Morning update. Looks like about 9-10” of new snow. It appears that I may have narrowly missed sleet. Intensity has lessened, but I expect to add a bit more over the course of the next few hours. #vtwx
One game I’ll be glad I missed due to travel. Sampling of game pace via app reminded me of BU-14. Andrew’s is the best way to view such a debacle. If BV is half the coach he is reputed to be, this is exactly what will happen. ITMT, it’s going to be a rough season.
Honestly, pour it on em TCU. I love my Sooners but they need this. No identity no mental toughness or discipline. The only way to build a team up is to break it down to the foundation and restart.
No captions needed, the real one shall know. #History #Meteorology and #Engineering dream team. @garyeOK @sigtor2019 you guys are MY heroes of Tornado History.
“Home gone, No connections.” Have we found a new wxtwitter meme?
The overall death toll in Gainesville of at least 203 may have been even larger. As Tom Grazulis (@sigtor2019) found in his exhaustive work on tornado history, the deaths of Black folks in weather disasters often went uncounted or undercounted into the early 20th century. 3/3
On June 6, 1917, a tornado crossed through what is now part of the Flight 93 National Memorial in Somerset County, PA. @sigtor2019 rated the tornado F2. midsouthtornadoes.msstate.edu/index.php?cw=c… #PAwx #September11
NOT A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK --ONLY ONE EF3-- 1 EF3 AND A BUNCH OF EF0/1s makes a MINOR outbreak...MY BAD..113 AND STILL COUNTING. More than 2000 minor outbreaks since 1950. Those EF2s were from days ago. Focusing too much on finishing SIGTOR, less than a year away. Graph is OK
@sigtor2019 @BorisKonon The accumulated STP haven't see big decline for US in a large scale. But the frequency for bust was really high recent years. I haven't seen any paper have the bust rate in each period. But it still feels like the frequency of bust these years was very high.
@sigtor2019 @BorisKonon This historically long inactive period after one of the biggest year in the history(2011) was especially weird. Or the fluctuation have became larger or 1-1.5 degree warming is a turning point. It's very hard to tell.
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