🇬🇧 No court order. Straight from your bank account.
UK Chancellor John Healey is expected to let HMRC take tax-debt instalments from persistent non-payers' accounts at the Oct 28 budget (The Times). Target: ~£4bn in smaller debts.
Due process shouldn't be optional.
🇫🇷 70,000 police. Louvre shut. Curfews in Paris.
France braces for a 2nd weekend of cost-of-living protests after last week's riots: 2,700 arrests, 217 jailed (AFP/BBC).
A state this big, and people still can't make ends meet. That's the real crisis.
🚨 "Advanced stages."
That's how US intel chief Jay Clayton describes Iran's lethal plots against Americans abroad, in a memo to Rubio (AP/Axios).
The US is now cutting staff at embassies in the UAE, Qatar, Jordan and Lebanon.
This war is far from over. 🇺🇸
🇺🇸🇷🇺 A $25B Alaska gas venture. Secret Russian money?
Polar LNG's ex-CEO says sanctioned Novatek funded part of it via a UAE backer. 3 execs quit (NYT/FT). Polar calls him "disgruntled."
Novatek confirms it wants a stake.
Energy dominance can't run on Kremlin cash.
💰 Ken Griffin: AI is "almost certainly" in a bubble (Bloomberg).
The risk: GPUs are like airline seats. Tiny marginal cost, so a glut can send prices into freefall, like fiber in 2000.
His twist: bubble survivors lead markets for decades.
Let the market pick winners. 📈
🇺🇸🇺🇦 66% vs 3%.
That's US voters siding more with Ukraine vs Russia (Economist/YouGov, Oct 19-20).
Trump on Friday floated 200% tariffs on both to end the war, then admitted the US doesn't buy enough from either for it to work.
Tariffs aren't a peace plan.
🇺🇸 Two Dan Sullivans. One Senate seat.
DOJ sued Alaska to block certifying the Nov 3 result if Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) loses and votes for a second "Daniel J. Sullivan" could have flipped it (NBC).
Trump: "I'm the one that said do it."
A judge decides next. ⚖️
🚨 "We may do another little Epic Fury."
Trump at a Florida rally Friday, on Iran. He didn't elaborate.
NYT reports the US and Israel have plans for short, intense strikes after the midterms.
Brent is already at $116.
Markets won't like this one. 🛢️
🇨🇦 Tariff relief, only where the votes are.
From Oct 30, Trump exempts 9 categories of Canadian goods from his 50% tariffs, a boost for Maine's Sen. Collins (AP).
The catch: the tariffs move to valves, carpets and more (BBC).
If tariffs hurt Maine, they hurt everyone. 📉
🇫🇷 Moody's blinks.
France keeps its Aa3 rating, outlook still negative. Most analysts expected a cut to A1 tonight.
PM Lecornu says it "defies the declinist forecasts."
A reprieve, not a rescue. Without real spending cuts, the downgrade is just delayed.
(AFP)
📉 Americans are almost as gloomy as ever.
UMich consumer sentiment: 48.0 in October, 10% below a year ago and 15% below February, before the Iran conflict.
Year-ahead inflation expectations: 4.7%.
Durable-goods buying conditions: down 18%.
Inflation is the cruelest tax.
🛢️ Brent just hit $116, a five-month high.
Houthi attacks in Saudi Arabia pushed it up 2.7% on Friday. US crude: $102 (Reuters).
European gas is up almost 30% this month.
Expensive energy is a tax on everyone. Produce more, regulate less. 📈
🇺🇸 Trump on a Democratic Congress: "I veto everything."
"And then the Democrats come and they want to make a deal," he told reporters Friday, 11 days before the Nov 3 midterms.
Overriding a veto takes two-thirds of both chambers.
Gridlock, loading. 🚨
🚨 DOJ charged two ex-senior FBI officials with lying to Congress about the Hunter Biden probes.
Nikki Floris and Bradley Benavides allegedly misled a House panel on an FBI task force's role (Reuters).
Floris' lawyers call it political.
Charged isn't convicted. 🇺🇸
🥇 Gold just cracked $4,000.
Spot hit $3,986.50, its lowest since July 20, and is down 3.5% this week (Reuters).
The culprit: Brent above $111 keeps Fed "higher for longer" alive. Dow down 1% by late morning (AP).
Cheap energy would fix more than any central bank. 📉
🇺🇸 US factories are booming.
October flash manufacturing PMI: 56.0, a 53-month high. Factory hiring is the fastest since 2012 (S&P Global).
The catch: selling prices rose at the sharpest rate since Aug 2022.
Growth is great. Sticky inflation isn't. 📈
🏠 Big investors are about to be banned from buying US homes.
From Jan 7, 2027, anyone controlling 350+ single-family homes can't buy more, under Treasury's proposed ROAD to Housing Act rules. Build-to-rent is carved out.
Want cheaper homes? Build more. Bans add zero supply.
🇫🇷 France is paying euro-crisis prices to borrow.
10y yield hit 5.14% this week, highest since 2002. Spread over German Bunds touched 177.7 bps, widest since Nov 2011 (Reuters).
Moody's reviews its Aa3 rating tonight.
Decades of overspending. Now the bill. 📉
🚨 First Russian diesel bound for the US since the 2022 import ban is at sea.
Tanker Agioi Fanendes loaded 40,000 t at Primorsk, ETA New York ~Nov 7 (Reuters).
Trump's deal: 300k t now, 500k t in Nov.
Cheaper diesel needs more US refining, not Kremlin favours. 🇺🇸
📡 SpaceX vs. the phone giants?
AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile slid 3%+ premarket on a report that SpaceX is in talks to launch a nationwide wireless carrier.
Tower owners jumped: Crown Castle +8.5%, American Tower +5.6% (Reuters).
Competition beats regulation. Bring it on.
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