U.S. Quantitative Equity Strategist for @Bloomberg Intelligence👨🏻💻 | 2020 Dow Award Winner 🏆 | Lover of hip hop and ankle picks | #Bitcoincmtassociation.org/wp-content/upl… New York, NYJoined March 2011
The S&P 500 is on the verge of its fastest recovery from a 15%+ drawdown in 50 years...
Past average: 490 days
Tech bubble: 1,694
GFC: 1,480
If the market make a new ATH before June 30th ... it would break the previous shortest record of 83 days in 1982 & 84 days in 1998
This last month's rally has had a defensive tone .. but not today. Value finally working while low vol (factor star of 2025) and profitability are not.
Momentum is also not working today, not surprising as momentum has really de-risked recently (as low vol becomes momentum)…
Something does seem different this time ... here is trailing 2-month (42 biz days) returns for SPX and DXY with todays result circled (DXY -8.2%, SPX -15.9% over last 2-months)
This is actually the largest error (difference between dot and the line) using daily data back to…
Low vol/beta factors predictably working in US large caps so far today ... but interesting value is doing well also (value typically gets hit in short-term market selloffs, at least temporarily)
Will be interesting to see if this continues throughout the day..
Attention NYC Area TA Fans:
Join us next Wednesday (11/20 at 5PM) for our (BI + CMT) "The History and Evolution of Technical Analysis on Wall Street" event.
Some true legends of the industry will be speaking. The event is free, and food and drink will be provided.
You DO NOT…
Check out @DavidCohne and I's convo with Eduardo, CIO of Advantus!
We speak about their process behind the small cap value fund AVUV amongst other topics!
bloomberg.com/news/audio/202…
Check out @DavidCohne and I's convo with Eduardo, CIO of Advantus!
We speak about their process behind the small cap value fund AVUV amongst other topics!
bloomberg.com/news/audio/202… https://t.co/Pf30UoPG9P
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