Sully @Suldog
Carlin's Big Club is real. 'Markets' are not. #EndTheFed #WeimarUSA Ohio, USA Joined March 2009-
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Never before in US history has a president had a lower unemployment rate and a lower approval rating. Either the polls are dead wrong or all the cheerful economic "data" is fabricated
"If you spent $100 every second of every day it would take you 1966 years to equal the $6.2 trillion the US government has spent the past 12 months" - Mike Hartnett
Sobering. h/t @DanielTinkham
New car loan rates just jumped to their highest level in 23 years, at 8%, and now stand above 2008 highs. This means that the average rate on a new car loan has nearly TRIPLED in 3 years. With higher for longer Fed policy returning, we expect to see even higher car loan and…
There is almost $1 Trillion on Ms. Yellen's #balancesheet which is about to flow out starting next Monday. That will add significantly to the overall #liquidity.
“The BoJ is trapped” in one chart. Japan is experiencing increasing inflation expectations alongside a continuous devaluation of the yen, exhibiting an almost perfectly negative correlation. This reflects the dilemma of an economy burdened by excessive debt, necessitating…
FINANCIAL GRAVITY: If we divide the performance of the S&P 500 by the Fed’s Balance Sheet since the GFC, the LINE IS FLAT. This means that there has been basically NO REAL growth in stock prices since 2008- with the only rise in prices due to money printing. The correlation…
🇺🇸STUDY: BIGGER BRAINS, DUMBER IQ We are getting dumber and fatter, according to a new study by researchers at UC Davis. People’s brains have grown 7% in size, but their IQ has dropped since the 1930s. We have literally created a society that scientists believe will continue…
@LawrenceLepard Until today I believed Republicans needed to fight all these bad bills. Now I know a collapse is inevitable. Patriots will rebuild. The sooner we collapse the better. Private property is the cornerstone of our republic. Sadly I agree with Larry’s assessment. And to top it all…
our legislative body just voted to steal property. the Founding Fathers are rolling in their graves. the Republic is dead. Rubicon crossed.
our legislative body just voted to steal property. the Founding Fathers are rolling in their graves. the Republic is dead. Rubicon crossed.
Just heard politician say "If you can get 300 members of Congress to agree on anything, that's a good thing." I guarantee it involves spending more, so by definition it's actually NOT A GOOD THING. #STOPSPENDING
The SP500 kept going down Friday, but breadth was positive, helping to lift the NYSE's McClellan A-D Oscillator up further from Tuesday's very low reading. It was the most negative reading since March 2023 (which was a pretty good price bottom). Seasonality is still in the bulls'…
You can see the weekly jobless claims numbers at fred.stlouisfed.org/data/ICSA.txt. Anyone notice anything peculiar, especially about 5 of the last 6 weekly readings?
Two weeks ago the WSJ ran a story on TSM calling it the most "invaluable company in the world" due to its dominance in semiconductor manufacturing w/ 60% global market share. wsj.com/tech/tsmc-morr… Today the company imploded the entire semiconductor sector by guiding down…
The 1-year yield is about to cross over the 3 month/Fed Funds Rate. When that happens the possibility of rate cuts becomes zero. If it continues to rise above then that will force the Fed to raise rates again in a 2nd wave like 1968.
The 1-year yield is about to cross over the 3 month/Fed Funds Rate. When that happens the possibility of rate cuts becomes zero. If it continues to rise above then that will force the Fed to raise rates again in a 2nd wave like 1968. https://t.co/vzhuARBmNs
Legacy media simply can’t compete with hundreds of millions of humans providing real-time, AI-assisted, interactive information
Legacy media simply can’t compete with hundreds of millions of humans providing real-time, AI-assisted, interactive information
Over the past 18 months, liquidity from Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repo (RRP) has been more than offsetting the Fed’s QT. Liquidity from TGA and RRP has exceeded the Fed’s balance sheet reduction by $417 billion. While the Fed has been reduce liquidity, the US…
@elerianm Two historic policy mistakes in just two years, Meanwhile, The Fed's preferred inflation metric (in CPI report) spiked to above 8% March CPI is 3.5%, the highest since September 2023. Core CPI is 3.8%, beating expectations for four months open.techwriters.info/globalmarketsi…
Daniel F. Baranowski @DFBHarvard
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502K Followers 510 Following Official X account for The Kobeissi Letter, an industry leading commentary on the global capital markets. Email us: [email protected]Never before in US history has a president had a lower unemployment rate and a lower approval rating. Either the polls are dead wrong or all the cheerful economic "data" is fabricated
🚨 CRASH ALERT🚨 1987 VS 2024 Im trying to unsee it . The 1987 crash was biblical Today we see the same set up Yields rising /Breach of primary trendline .✅ Measured move complete .✅ Momentum plummeting .✅ Erratic behaviour ✅ The only difference today. Bigger…
The Odds For Rate Hikes May Have Increased Dramatically seekingalpha.com/article/468673…
"If you spent $100 every second of every day it would take you 1966 years to equal the $6.2 trillion the US government has spent the past 12 months" - Mike Hartnett
Sobering. h/t @DanielTinkham
New car loan rates just jumped to their highest level in 23 years, at 8%, and now stand above 2008 highs. This means that the average rate on a new car loan has nearly TRIPLED in 3 years. With higher for longer Fed policy returning, we expect to see even higher car loan and…
There is almost $1 Trillion on Ms. Yellen's #balancesheet which is about to flow out starting next Monday. That will add significantly to the overall #liquidity.
Long term $USD destroys $EURUSD and $USDJPY which is 75% of $DXY then it will be $GBPUSD turn look at all these charts its no coincidence. When #FED hikes they all need to hike higher than #FED or it turns into #horseshit #DollarMilkshake
Equities may be due for a rest. But the fact that "US equities melt up" is the part of my thesis that is challenged the most is more a sign of me being right than it is of me being wrong. If everyone was bullish, this part would be the least challenged... #DollarMilkshake
💥 China = engine of global econ growth since GFC Growth fueled by massive credit/debt creation Chinese banks could be at risk bc China’s Repo Mkt uses MBS/Corp Debt as “pristine” collateral #Evergrande If China banks fail, so does econ/global USD cash flows #DollarMilkshake
Biden is now proposing a 45% long-term capital gains tax… By far the highest since it’s creation in 1922. Combined with state taxes, many states will be well over 50%. Yea… he’s gotta go.
@OrangePilledca @RealEJAntoni x.com/biancoresearch…
Below is the number of initial filings for unemployment insurance. How is this statistically possible? Five of the last six weeks, the exact same number. Effectively the same number in the last 11 weeks, except for the holiday weeks (President's Day and Easter). --- Consider…
@OrangePilledca @RealEJAntoni It’s complete fraud and misinformation. It’s a house of cards and they are hoping mass immigration can solve this problem. Shocking watching it unfold from Ireland
@OrangePilledca @RealEJAntoni Pure fraud, pretty much.
Holy $#!*... The quarterly census of employment and wages shows a DROP of 192k private sector jobs in Q3 last year after BLS said nonfarm payrolls rose 640k over that same time! Note that unlike the monthly job estimates, the quarterly census covers more than 95% of US jobs:
This is concerning: The cost to service US Federal debt is now takes up a record ~12% of US government spending. This is up sharply from just ~7% in 2020 and ~9% in 2022. In 2023, the US posted its 3rd largest deficit on record, spending $1.7 TRILLION more than it brought in.…
Frequent counterpoint: "Europe's fiscal position is worse than the US's." Druckenmiller: "Actually, the US fiscal gap is 3x worse than France, the poster child for social welfare and all that stuff... and we can't cut anything without deficit/GDP going up instead of down."
Miners are fairly valued. Here's why. Look at the infamous chart of gold vs the HUI Gold Bugs index. (I use the HUI because it dates back to 1994. The GDX only goes back to 2006). Look at the gap between gold and the miner index. Gold miners are so undervalued, arm wave, blah…
@LanceRoberts Buying back the executive stock options that have diluted shareholder value. In essence, this is a roundabout way of transferring this wealth into the pockets of executives.