McManusWx @MhcTracking

Forecaster at @IPTCWC Modelcane Development Region Joined July 2021

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National Hurricane Center @NHC_Atlantic

3 days ago

Hurricane #Humberto Advisory 13: Humberto Quickly Strengthens to a Category 5 Hurricane. hurricanes.gov

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

6 days ago

Severe Tropical Storm #Bualoi Advisory #2: Bualoi almost a typhoon, landfall in northern Samar expected later today. Max winds have increased to 60knots (70mph). At least a C1 peak forecast in the South China Sea by Sunday. Click below on cone and discussion for more info.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

7 days ago

Severe Tropical Storm #Bualoi Advisory #1: Bualoi organizing at a steady pace. Max winds have increased to 55knots (65mph). Typhoon landfall expected on or north of Samar in around 30 hours, strong wind and heavy rainfall expected Click below on cone and discussion for more info.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

7 days ago

Western North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook: IPTCWC is issuing advisories on TY Ragasa, located over Guangzhou Province, STS Neoguri, located over the NE subtropical WPAC and on STS Bualoi, over the SW Philippine Sea. Elsewhere, no new TCs are expected in the next five days.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

a month ago

IPTCWC releases 2024 Post Analysis for Western North Pacific and North Indian Ocean. A full detailed reported will be released at a later time. Click the link below for access to the full best track file docs.google.com/document/d/1QN….

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

2 months ago

Severe Tropical Storm #KROSA Advisory #10: Krosa struggling. Max winds have decreased to 55knots (65mph). Near stall forecast beginning tomorrow, very low confidence forecast thereafter. Click below on IPTCWC cone and discussion for more info.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

IPTCWC TC Update Indo-Pacific Tropical Cyclone Warning Center WP052025 Typhoon DANAS July 6th, 2025 1500 UTC …DANAS VERY CLOSE TO LANDFALL IN TAIWAN AS A MAJOR TYPHOON… Location: 23.1N 119.9E Max Sustained Winds: 100 knots (115mph) Minimum Central Pressure: 958mb

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

IPTCWC TC Update WP052025 Typhoon DANAS Sun, July 6th, 2024 1200 UTC …DANAS INTENSIFIES RAPIDLY INTO A POWERFUL MAJOR TYPHOON… ...TAIWAN LANDFALL EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON… Location: 23.0N 119.6E Max Sustained Winds (1-min): 105 knots (120mph) Minimum Central Pressure: 955mb

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

Typhoon #Danas Advisory #4: Danas almost a major typhoon, further strengthening likely before landfall. Max sustained winds have increased to 95kts (110mph). Landfall expected today, 100-110 knot peak possible. Click on cone and discussion below for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

Typhoon #Danas Advisory #3: Danas intensifies rapidly into a typhoon, major peak possible before a Taiwan landfall tomorrow. Max sustained winds have increased to 80kts (90mph). 100 knot peak now expected early Sunday. Click on cone and discussion below for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

Tropical Storm #Danas Advisory #2: Danas named, expected to become a typhoon tomorrow. Max sustained winds have increased to 45kts (50mph). 75 knot peak expected in Taiwan Straits early Sunday. Click on cone and discussion below for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

Severe Tropical Storm #Mun Advisory #3: Mun strengthening at a modest pace. Max sustained winds have increased to 55kts (65mph). 85 knot peak now expected this weekend, no land at risk. Click on cone and discussion below for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

Tropical Storm WP-#Four Advisory #1: New tropical storm develops over the subtropical West Pacific. Max sustained winds are at 35kts (40mph). 55 knot peak expected in 3 days, no land at risk. Click on cone and discussion below for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

🔍Operational Analysis: WP012025 (TY #Wutip)🔍 Wutip was the first West Pacific storm and typhoon of 2025, peaking as a lower-end category one system while approaching Hainan Island, causing moderate impacts across southern China. Click on graphics below for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

🔍Operational Analysis: NI022025 (CS Two) 🔎 Two was the second tropical cyclone and first tropical storm of this year's NIO season, moving inland Bangladesh in late May while bringing major impacts from flooding. Click on the graphics below for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

3 months ago

🔍Operational Analysis: NI012025 (TD One) 🔍 One was the first TC of this year's North Indian Cyclone Season, remaining weak while tracking near, then inland #Maharashtra. There were no major impacts which resulted from the system. Click on graphics below for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

4 months ago

Typhoon #Wutip Advisory #3: Wutip now the first typhoon of the season. Max sustained winds are at 65kts (75mph). Some further strengthening possible. Tropical Storm Watches in effects for parts of coastal #Vietnam. Click on cone and discussion for more information.

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

4 months ago

IPTCWC Western North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook: IPTCWC is monitoring an area of interest located in the southeast Philippine Sea (Invest #92W) for development as it moves northwest during the rest of this week. The chance of development through 5 days is 🟠Medium.

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Michael Lowry @MichaelRLowry

4 months ago

It's been death by a million papercuts to U.S. weather forecasts by the Trump administration, but Friday's detailed 2026 budget feels like a deathblow. In today's @nytimes I ask: How far can we degrade our hurricane forecasting before people end up dead? nytimes.com/2025/05/31/opi…

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IPTCWC @IPTCWC

4 months ago

Cyclonic Storm #Two-NI Advisory #1: New tropical storm forms, makes landfall in #Bangladesh. Max sustained winds are at 35kts (40mph). Heavy to torrential rains and strong winds to occur while the system moves inland. Click on cone and discussion for more information.