Quercus @Quercus45
Vol PM at a multi-strat. Thoughts are my own. Not investment advice. Let's see how this X thing works. Joined October 2020-
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One may think that after a strong year, many investors take "chips off the table". In many cases, however, a strong year for the benchmark leads to relative underperformance, and instead investors increase risk to catch up in the final months, helping markets squeeze higher.
One may think that after a strong year, many investors take "chips off the table". In many cases, however, a strong year for the benchmark leads to relative underperformance, and instead investors increase risk to catch up in the final months, helping markets squeeze higher.
Amazing how that always happens
Amazing how that always happens
Now watch dealer re-hedging flows push the market back to green
There are tons of these "top signals" out there... It makes for a good story when it hits ("it was so obvious..") but most of the time you are trading noise... x.com/Quercus45/stat…
There are tons of these "top signals" out there... It makes for a good story when it hits ("it was so obvious..") but most of the time you are trading noise... x.com/Quercus45/stat…
You can add "BiGgest OpEx NoTional EvEr" to this list
But please tell me more about how the fact that it is September will crash markets...
A simple, good rule for monetization? The first time you think about it, do 1/3.
Good thing my trading is generally not based on making directional calls
Good thing my trading is generally not based on making directional calls
My god, copilot is so aggressive that it literally won't allow me to do anything but vibe-code these days...
Kinda tempting to buy some short-dated downside to fade the (jumbo) rate cut hopes.
Quant Fund that Added 'Alpha' to its Name Drops 11.4%
Obviously its all about the IB chat (and to see the QIS indices underperforming)
Obviously its all about the IB chat (and to see the QIS indices underperforming)
Worsr takes I've seen in a while: 1) BBG is not for alpha 2) BBG is not just a database 3) Data alone is not alpha
Worsr takes I've seen in a while: 1) BBG is not for alpha 2) BBG is not just a database 3) Data alone is not alpha
Feel free to use this one-factor model to generate stable negative alpha
Feel free to use this one-factor model to generate stable negative alpha
There are several interesting patterns around expriations. Will dig deeper into this in a future post, but dealer charm into a.m expirations and resets of delta/gamma after large spot moves are examples that can be traded successfully
There are several interesting patterns around expriations. Will dig deeper into this in a future post, but dealer charm into a.m expirations and resets of delta/gamma after large spot moves are examples that can be traded successfully
In trading, discipline isn't punishment—it's the bedrock of a repeatable process. Define rules, track performance metrics, and enforce accountability to weather sentiment shifts. Without it, even the best edges erode. Build habits that outlast volatility.
Naive $VIX call buyers continue to experience massive pain. Front of the curve is just caving in day after day. Way better value to buy in other pockets than $VIX calls here.
Naive $VIX call buyers continue to experience massive pain. Front of the curve is just caving in day after day. Way better value to buy in other pockets than $VIX calls here.
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