Sergei Perfiliev 🇺🇦 @perfiliev
Ex-Goldman Sachs Quant | Options Trader | Finance Teacher | Software Developer Learn financial markets with our new training course! 👇 perfiliev.com/?coupon_code=P… Not financial advice. Joined December 2014-
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My latest article examines why the vast majority of investments in the world are poor performers (bonds, stocks, and real estate), and what the handful of good performers tend to have in common. lynalden.com/most-investmen…
Time for Friday Speedrun! Another Policy Error? So Soon? spectramarkets.com/amfx/another-p…
In a month or so, we will be launching our flagship Spectra School course: Think Like a Market Professional Anyone on the waitlist before launch will receive a major discount and other sweet treats on Day 1. Sign up for the waitlist now, with no obligation…
Reposted the portion of our Q1 Update where I invited @DannyDayan5 to write about inflationary threats and ideas for hedging our equity book against them using STIR as a free post for all subscribers. Read here: citriniresearch.com/p/being-aware-…
Should politicians be allowed to trade stocks? New @goodworkmb out now. Featuring: @unusual_whales @PelosiTracker_ @QuiverQuant @ossoff @RoKhanna @SpanbergerForVA @RepScottPerry
Friday Speedrun! Talking about volatility, TICKER: DJT, and why the speed of moves is often just as important (or more important) than the direction of moves. Especially in bonds. Have a lurvly Easter. spectramarkets.com/amfx/falling-v…
VX30 Long/Short with SPX 1-DTE Overlay open.substack.com/pub/volvibes/p…
"Denying Russia’s Only Strategy for Success" by @TheStudyofWar An absolute must-read and one of the most precise and definitive essays on the Russian war on Ukraine -- and why Russia is in a critical need of making the West abandon Ukraine. It's literally the ultimate…
In August 1999, President Yeltsin appointed his FSB Chief Putin as the new Prime Minister. Same day, he named him as the official successor. Yet, there was a problem. To become a president, Putin had to go through elections which he could not win. He was completely obscure.
𝗚𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹 𝗠𝗮𝗰𝗿𝗼 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗜𝗱𝗶𝗼𝘁𝘀: 𝗣𝗮𝗿𝘁 𝗧𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗲 Let @SirOfFinance and I take you on a STIR punting odyssey from SOFR to XCCY. Totally free & half of any new paid subscriber fees are donated to Doctors Without Borders. citriniresearch.com/p/global-macro…
Weekend listening We talk Fed, the fully priced in BOJ hike, sticky US inflation, possible underpricing of both tails in rates, a short discussion of levels, changes, and rates of change… And more. themacrocompass.org/the-macro-trad…
A potential change in leverage calculations could make banks a limitless purchaser of Treasuries just as future issuance is surging. This well worn path of sovereign financing would boost liquidity across markets and place upward pressure on asset prices. fedguy.com/manufacturing-…
The shift to a secured monetary standard is now complete, with trillions in dollar loans priced using rates in the repo market. But after multiple mishaps, the secured standard has proven faulty. With leaders vowing to fix its flaws, the Repo Market Rewire™ is approaching... 1/
Fiscal Deficits + QE is one of the most powerful monetary combinations in the world. You are going to see it more often over the next decade. Here is how it impacts markets and the economy: 1/
A couple of people asked how to price this bet. As a reminder the bet Peter offered was 5-1 against that BTC/USD would hit $100,000 before the end of the year (i.e. he receives $20,000 if Bitcoin hits 100k, and he pays $100,000 if Bitcoin does not hit 100k)
A couple of people asked how to price this bet. As a reminder the bet Peter offered was 5-1 against that BTC/USD would hit $100,000 before the end of the year (i.e. he receives $20,000 if Bitcoin hits 100k, and he pays $100,000 if Bitcoin does not hit 100k)
New Commentary The most important topic for Professional Investors is "The Cost of Carry" - what it costs to hold a position over time. Today I detail this concept in layman's terms for civilians. convexitymaven.com/wp-content/upl… @profplum99 @real_bill_gross @TruthGundlach…
Markets Weekly March 2, 2024 Bitcoin Adoption is Real BOJ may FINALLY Hike West set to seize some Russian assets youtu.be/G_fG2riwgtM
Andy Constan @dampedspring
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80K Followers 1K Following CIO @ QVR. Derivatives and volatility. Tweets may relate to undisclosed investment holdings. No investment advice. Anti-fascist.SpotGamma @spotgamma
107K Followers 193 Following We analyze the options market. Daily commentary: https://t.co/XTAUMUtGlI YouTube: https://t.co/s0HBvNufnw… Disclaimer: https://t.co/3dBKPL2sgx…Cem Karsan 🥐 @jam_croissant
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69K Followers 1K Following BEARLORD || Philosophy degrees are worth it. CEO of a new thing. On threads; same handle.Simon Ree @simon_ree
44K Followers 1K Following 25yr career at Goldman & Citi | Trader | Speaker | Bestselling author of The Tao of Trading | Jeet Kune Do Instructor | Tweets not financial adviceJoseph Wang @FedGuy12
159K Followers 598 Following Subscribe at https://t.co/VGtUvtX2QK for latest thoughts and analysis. YouTube: https://t.co/wTjbN1iNQ8ʎllǝuuop ʇuǝɹq @donnelly_brent
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61K Followers 570 Following Co-CIO of Ambrus| (Focus: Exotic Derivatives/Volatility/ Tail risk hedging )| @penn guy (Not investment advice)ShortSeller @ShortsellerST
30K Followers 2K Following Follow/Set Notifications! ChartsForCharity- Lehman Brothers, Raymond James, JackShu HF (since 1987) - #CfC (100% FREE) here; https://t.co/CHgZyG97qoВы поняли, д.. @Hugo_StiglitzUA
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I don't care what the logo is or what the management says, this place will always be called Twitter for me. How about you?
“Shorting fiat”…by going “long assets” is literally the whole point of investing. What insight am I missing here?
My latest article examines why the vast majority of investments in the world are poor performers (bonds, stocks, and real estate), and what the handful of good performers tend to have in common. lynalden.com/most-investmen…
You can’t win a sale unless you don’t need the sale. If you’re in a position of desperation, nobody will want to work with you. People want want they can’t have. Step one to become a master salesperson: Operate from a point of leverage.
🔥 The best meme on Communism you’ll see today. ~ @vtchakarova
@elonmuskADO X should be the holding company that owns Twitter and Twitter should be Twitter.
I have a take. All green bottle beer is bad. All of it. There isn’t a single good green bottle beer. Fight me.
Good source. She is definitely well known for her accurate predictions, forecasts, and price targets.
As Cathie Wood states, Tesla is the biggest AI project on Earth
I'm skeptical of active management generally. Sometimes I get asked "How long of a track record before it has signal?" My answer is I don't know because markets change and I have no idea if the track record from 15 years ago matters. So where do I stand...
Measuring investment performance 101 I have some strong opinions on this topic. It is also one of the most studied topics in finance. I'll give it a go. I'll start with my strongest view. It is almost impossible to determine if an investor has an ability to beat the market
@elonmusk There's a bit of irony here, in that Facebook's advertising metrics have been overstated for a long while. Years ago they stated that Facebook had more US users than the Census counted. Somehow Wall Street and advertisers didn't seem to care about this, but it's part of a theme.…
Snooker is great because it's the only sport that expects the crowd to do some math as a normal part of spectating. (To clap when the frame is won barring snookers.)
Bingo. As with Musk's mysterious investors in acquiring Twitter, the value isn’t in making a profit, it’s in information control, which dictatorships value as much as physical control.
Shouldn’t that tell you everything you need to know? ByteDance openly saying they would rather shutdown TikTok than make tens of billions selling it to a non-CCP controlled entity. What possible explanation is there for that other than its value to them isn’t as a business?
Markets Weekly April 27, 2024 Inflation is Sticky US Giving Russian Reserves to Ukraine Highlights from Fed Financial Stability Report youtu.be/uuBSt9tl7AA
@coloradotravis This is what I was gonna share when this meme started going around.... We are so freakin old...
Be careful following anyone on this app. Every trader who has survived long enough knows that making price predictions is a joke, and that on a long enough timeline, people here will have varying levels of “hot hands.” If you stick around in markets long enough, you will see…
Bonds Have Had a Wild Ride. The Roller Coaster Is Coming to a Stop. barrons.com/articles/bond-… via @barronsonline Click below for my NYSE-listed newly-issued MBS Strategy convexitymaven.com/wp-content/upl…
congrats to everyone who took this to heart on USDJPY. naturally, i did not listen to my own advice.