Macro EU & US @MacroEu
Retired CFO. No DM, no investment advice 🇨🇵🇪🇸🇬🇧🇩🇪🇳🇱🇧🇪🇵🇹🇮🇹🇺🇲🇪🇺 Tweets in 🇬🇧🇳🇱🇪🇸 🇪🇺 Joined March 2022-
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@NickTimiraos Hmm, don't know Nick, data from Paychex from today regarding February doesn't seem that promising... jobs down, wages up...
@hectorchamizo Un poco débil la narrativa de BlackRock, pero es lo que se intenta vender. Los picos y las palas ya llevan tres años de moda, lo que falta es quién rentabilice esos picos y esas palas. La caída del software tiene poco sentido.
Macro EU & US retweeted
NYSE new highs still looks good... few new lows... More from me on @stockcharts articles.stockcharts.com/article/vix-ne…
@KimbleCharting If it keeps spending (=borrowing =printing), it keeps screaming. Unless we get some credit/bond stress.
Macro EU & US retweeted
Not much wiggle room for Notes and TLT Breakout or Breakdown = Should have many ripple effects!!! $TLT $GLD $SPY
Macro EU & US retweeted
Tech sector credit spreads are trending higher. Source: @topdowncharts
@JDB_trading Er is enorm veel overtollig geld in omloop. Dat zoekt steeds naar een investering. QE is ook opnieuw opgestart. Het is moeilijk voor de markt om zo te corrigeren. Het geld verplaatst zich, in plaats van dat het uit de markt wordt genomen.
@JDB_trading De correctie in software is best fors. De chart die je laat zien is vertekend door de makers, omdat er met de x-as van XLF is gespeeld, die is naar beneden uitgerekt om de val groter te doen lijken.
Macro EU & US retweeted
🇺🇸 Dollar The US dollar remains richly valued on key metrics, leaving it exposed to further downside despite recent softness 👉 isabelnet.com/blog/ h/t @dailychartbook @TS_Lombard $dxy #dxy #dollar
@JDB_trading Alles kan, maar met al die uitstaande en alsmaar groeiende schuld wordt het lastig voor TLT om in waarde te stijgen, tenzij de dollar minstens even hard wegzakt. Wordt zeker geen soepele stijgende lijn.
@ContraInvest Los chinos se van mañana de vacaciones, tienen que vender ahora oro y bolsa si no quieren quedarse una semana atrapados en este mercado. Cuando vuelvan de vacaciones en una semana veremos el rumbo que toma el mercado.
Macro EU & US retweeted
Who prints what? The Fed is in the spotlight with T-Bill Reserve Management Purchases (RMPs) replenishing bank reserves without a visible impact yet.
Macro EU & US retweeted
📌 Performance After roughly a decade of US stocks trouncing global peers, international markets have finally turned the tables, making home bias look increasingly costly 👉 isabelnet.com/blog/ h/t @dailychartbook @WillieDelwiche $spx #spx
@JDB_trading De $100 lijkt me bij uitstek geschikt om daar in de buurt short te gaan, als het gehaald wordt. Als iedereen weer bullish wordt zou dat zomaar kunnen. Ligt niet zo gek ver af van de 61.8% volgens mij
Macro EU & US retweeted
Stress in the US tech credit market is surging: 14.5% of tech loans are now distressed, the highest since the 2022 bear market. At the same time, the tech bond distressed ratio is up to 9.5%, the highest since Q4 2023. These metrics show the portion of loans and bonds that are in default or at high risk of default. Both ratios have risen +4 percentage points year-to-date. As a result, software debt in collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) recorded a -2.5% decline in January, the biggest drop in at least 12 months and the worst return among all sectors. Software is one of the largest sectors of the leveraged loan market, reflecting 12% of the Bloomberg US Leveraged Loan Index. Tech credit stress is rising at an alarming pace.
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