Michael Madowitz @mikemadowitz
Principal Economist @RooseveltInst, @RooseveltFwd Used to love this place This = me+β(no_sleep)+ε rooseveltinstitute.org/authors/michae… NE, DC Joined February 2013-
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TBF Trump is at 12, so a healthy balance to keep both jobs
TBF Trump is at 12, so a healthy balance to keep both jobs
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Michael Madowitz retweeted
🚨 The Fed cut rates by 0.25 pts to 4–4.25%. Growth has slowed, job gains are weaker, and inflation is still elevated. The move reflects rising risks to employment, but officials remain committed to bringing inflation back to 2%.
Michael Madowitz retweeted
NEW from @shangwei_ @rooseveltinst : Can China Break Nuclear Power’s Cost Curse—and What Can the US Learn? This is part of a new series on how various countries and industries are approaching thorny tradeoffs in energy transitions. Pitch us your ideas! rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/can-china…
Michael Madowitz retweeted
The person who could reshape US economic statistics -- including oversight of the BLS -- has their Senate confirmation hearing at 10 am today.
The person who could reshape US economic statistics -- including oversight of the BLS -- has their Senate confirmation hearing at 10 am today.
Wait til you see the Future of Work
There's a labor supply shock, but there are also other supply shocks that are bad for labor demand It's one way to run an economy
There's a labor supply shock, but there are also other supply shocks that are bad for labor demand It's one way to run an economy
Michael Madowitz retweeted
Coming off the August Jobs Day report, I have an op-ed in @MSNBC about why we should be concerned about the rising Black unemployment rate. The big jump - up 1.5pp in 3 months - is a 🚨warning sign🚨 for the broader economy. msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-…
Michael Madowitz retweeted
📢 We’re partnering with @IWPResearch and @TCFdotorg for the DC launch of Anna Gifty's new book, “The Double Tax: How Women of Color Are Overcharged & Underpaid.” Join us for a conversation with @AngelaHanks and @drtaylor09 on Black women and the economy: iwpr.org/event/book-lau…
Michael Madowitz retweeted
call me crazy but I think a 75% hike in health insurance premiums for 22 million people is a good reason!
call me crazy but I think a 75% hike in health insurance premiums for 22 million people is a good reason! https://t.co/NSkPG7Xs6F
Michael Madowitz retweeted
Inbox: American Community Survey (ACS) Data Users Group Online Community is shutting down. Has 7000 members; operating since 2013. Big loss to users of the ACS, the key source of economic, societal, and demographic information about local communities.
Michael Madowitz retweeted
the irony is cook sounds more on the dovish side of the committee at this moment
the irony is cook sounds more on the dovish side of the committee at this moment
This reminds me of me of the time I told my 2 y/o she couldn’t put a fork in the wall outlet, but she kept trying so i took the fork dang we her timeouts her room. There’s no ‘timeout in your room’ option here, just a Roberts court warming a salt water brine
This reminds me of me of the time I told my 2 y/o she couldn’t put a fork in the wall outlet, but she kept trying so i took the fork dang we her timeouts her room. There’s no ‘timeout in your room’ option here, just a Roberts court warming a salt water brine
Michael Madowitz retweeted
Thanks to @LaurenKGurley at the @washingtonpost for chatting with me about the benchmark revision, & also for letting me push a bit of data-watching advice: Pay less attention to monthly job growth, and more attention to ratios from the household survey. washingtonpost.com/business/2025/…
Michael Madowitz retweeted
ok so the LEVEL of employment 6 months ago was lower than we thought. And what are we supposed to do with that information? You guys are too easily excited🤣
Michael Madowitz retweeted
The preliminary benchmark revision of -911K amounts to -0.6% to March 2025 payroll employment. Combined with 2-month revisions, recent total revisions are big but hardly unprecedented, & smoothed over the business cycle the payroll survey has gotten more accurate over time.
I made a picture! -Tech looks worse than initially reported (higher biz fail rate?) -utilities get the best revision (maybe we made more Everything Bagels than we thought?) -Perhaps an anticipatory tariff effect on trade (-) and transportation(+), but speculative
I made a picture! -Tech looks worse than initially reported (higher biz fail rate?) -utilities get the best revision (maybe we made more Everything Bagels than we thought?) -Perhaps an anticipatory tariff effect on trade (-) and transportation(+), but speculative https://t.co/eJYNhqAyW9
Michael Madowitz retweeted
Prelim benchmark to the level of nonfarm payroll employment as of March 2025: -911K
Happy Benchmark Revisions day to all who celebrate! (hoping for a really boring celebration!)
Michael Madowitz retweeted
A thing I do find depressing about LLMs is the way their strongest feature, coding, cannibalized and privatized the open, collaborative commons era of efforts like Stack Overflow to be so effective. And in turn, they are now set to ruin the knowledge production they rely on.
A thing I do find depressing about LLMs is the way their strongest feature, coding, cannibalized and privatized the open, collaborative commons era of efforts like Stack Overflow to be so effective. And in turn, they are now set to ruin the knowledge production they rely on.
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