Mark Sobel @sobel_mark
Former US Treasury/US rep IMF; US Chairman OMFIF; Non-Res Senior Advisor CSIS Joined June 2018-
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Good piece on occasion of Basel Committee’s 50th! omfif.org/2024/04/basel-…
Great lecture. Congrats.
Great lecture. Congrats.
Olivier and Jens. Very well said! 👏 👏 👏 👏 And FWIW in that spirit: omfif.org/2024/03/its-ti…
Olivier and Jens. Very well said! 👏 👏 👏 👏 And FWIW in that spirit: omfif.org/2024/03/its-ti…
Greg: Great piece. Huge praise again on your book — “Default”. I haven’t followed the NY bills. The main problem in sov debt space right now is LIC debt to official creditors such as China. How would NY bills get China/non-traditional creditors to provide quick, deep relief?
Greg: Great piece. Huge praise again on your book — “Default”. I haven’t followed the NY bills. The main problem in sov debt space right now is LIC debt to official creditors such as China. How would NY bills get China/non-traditional creditors to provide quick, deep relief?
What a great honor to have my commentary highlighted by Professor Tribe!
What a great honor to have my commentary highlighted by Professor Tribe!
Finally, a veteran of the Treasury Dept and a financial journalist talk about why reporters ask secretaries so many questions about the dollar Do @MarkSobel_OMFIF and I come to blows over the matter? There's only one way to find out -- have a listen to his podcast --->
Finally, a veteran of the Treasury Dept and a financial journalist talk about why reporters ask secretaries so many questions about the dollar Do @MarkSobel_OMFIF and I come to blows over the matter? There's only one way to find out -- have a listen to his podcast --->
Excellent!
Some thoughts on tensions in foreign exchange markets — dollar, euro, yen and RMB. omfif.org/2024/04/tensio…
PCE inflation is 2.5% (year-over-year). Hardly Chicken Little material. bea.gov/data/personal-…
PCE inflation is 2.5% (year-over-year). Hardly Chicken Little material. bea.gov/data/personal-…
Great FTA. The threshold question is whether to seize the corpus of blocked 🇷🇺 assets. Europe not there. Were the threshold crossed, officials can quickly devise a good plan. This is far more a matter of political will than law. Seize the assets.👇 omfif.org/2024/03/its-ti…
Great FTA. The threshold question is whether to seize the corpus of blocked 🇷🇺 assets. Europe not there. Were the threshold crossed, officials can quickly devise a good plan. This is far more a matter of political will than law. Seize the assets.👇 omfif.org/2024/03/its-ti…
My thoughts on the upcoming IMF/WB Spring Meetings. A mixed/tepid global growth outlook coupled with irksome underlying tectonic forces and risks.👇 omfif.org/2024/04/expect…
Well worth a read!
Fine piece from Lorenzo Codogno. omfif.org/2024/04/italys…
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👇🎯 Japan, like the US, is a large, relatively closed economy. Trade/GDP is about 45%. There will be some distributional winners/losers from depreciation. But the hysterics over this are utterly out of control. Did people forget about floating exchange rates in the post-BW era?
"Their currency is going to continue to weaken, which is *really bad* for the people who live there..." 🤔 This discussion is borderline insane.
Yen Retreats, while Stronger EMU GDP Underscores Nascent Recovery and Lifts the Euro: Overview: Stronger than expected eurozone GDP strengthened the sense that a nascent recovery may be taking hold and has given the euro a bid in the European morning.… dlvr.it/T6Cc9y
@adam_tooze @IMFNews @WorldBank @CGDev @sobel_mark @Brad_Setser @David_McNair @70sBachchan @LHSummers This makes the stakes for the IDA replenishment very high – both from a human progress perspective but also from a political/global trust perspective. Hopefully, better instincts will prevail in December when countries make their pledges to the new IDA funding round. (5/5)
When students participate in exchanges, they deepen knowledge inside and outside the classroom and forge ties with their peers. As @SecBlinken noted, we're determined to strengthen our people-to-people ties with China and also increase the number of Americans studying in China.
@AngelUbide It has become trendy to blabla away it seems legrandcontinent.eu/es/2024/04/26/…
@Brad_Setser I was on the GS trading floor at the time. None of the interventions changed Yen direction. The problem - then as now - is that FX intervention doesn't work if it isn't matched by monetary policy. In this case, it must come with rising 10-year JGB yield. Only that will work...
It makes NO sense for Japan's MoF to intervene to strengthen Yen (black), if - simultaneously - BoJ is buying JGBs (blue), which weakens Yen. This is what happened in 2022, when $/JPY was 140. We're now at 157, which tells you just how ineffective this kind of intervention is...
We launch our latest Asia and Pacific Regional Economic Outlook report in Singapore on Tuesday, April 30th at 10am (April 29th at 10pm ET). Learn more: imf.org/en/Publication…
US Oil Production in 2023, Net Exports of Petroleum Products through 2024Q1 @EIAgov econbrowser.com/archives/2024/…
Once again, “Who was actually President in 2020?” seems to be a deep puzzle for many voters Also, Biden’s numbers on the economy have never recovered from 2+ years of nonstop media obsession about single-digit inflation & a totally nonexistent recession x.com/mcopelov/statu…
Most voters in these states hold negative views of their state’s economy.. And when they are asked to look back and recall the economy when Trump was president, most say it was good – a sentiment that gives the former president an advantage. tinyurl.com/3xrj6mjy
Thank you Vice-President @OstrosThomas for a very fruitful discussion and for continuing to prioritise health in the @EIB initiatives. Together, we can #EndPolio, ramp up R&D of a new #tuberculosis vaccine and ensure many more people have access to essential health services.…
Uplifting discussions with Dr. Mansur Muhtar, VP Country Programs @isdb_group. We agreed to keep working together and strengthen our @EIB-IsDB cooperation. Notably promising is our joint work under the Health Impact Investment Platform but scope for co-financing also beyond.
Sovereign debt accumulation remains a key challenge for developing countries in years ahead. Resulting #volatility is an ongoing economic/financial theme for the global economy. worldbank.org/en/region/mena…
On Russian reserves. To answer some of the reasonable objections: I am not very worried about precedent. I think the contingency is well defined. If you engage in physical war, then you are at risk. Holding dollar or euro reserves does not imply holding them in the US or in…
It was an honor to give my @AmericanAcademy lecture, "Dollar Signs: The Myth of American Decline & the Future of World Order," to a full house last night. Thanks to my dear friend @mhallerberg for the generous introduction & great discussion. Video here: americanacademy.de/videoaudio/dol…
Excellent discussion with my old friends @CommerceGov U/S Marisa Lago and Counselor Sharon Yuan. Impressed by the ambition to strengthen US trade and investment ties across Asia and Pacific. Many opportunities for collaboration w/ @ADB_HQ.
Discussing the seizing of Russian reserves is entering troll city. What strikes me however is a fundamental difference of opinion. I think that we, the western economies, are, by proxy, at war with Russia. Most of the trolls do not or pretend we are not.
GDP growth came in a bit below expectations at a 1.6% annual rate in the first quarter. But much of the slowdown was in non-inertial items like inventories (-0.35pp) and net exports (-0.86pp). The better signal of final sales to private domestic purchasers was 3.1%.
Pakistan's debt problem is everyone's headache. The IMF wants to be repaid. China wants its debts serviced. The US doesn't want Fund money going to China but worries about instability. @_ashuklaa and I explain this geopolitical web. 1/