The Blob warned us @systemrename
Stratosphere enthusiast, foamer, vagabond. wandering north america Joined June 2009-
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#2025_Antarctic_stratospheric_warming is not comparable to the 2019 stratospheric warming event, given the much weaker tropospheric wave forcing. Its impact will be against those of La Niña and -ve IOD. This kind of minor warming is not so rare, having happened ~6 times before.
Could the zigzag look of some SH polar vortex section reveal a complex of vertical wave reflections, increasingly trapped between more stable layer boundaries?
The southern hemisphere polar vortex is very unstable this year, not very warm or weak, but full of wave activity.
Irrational youths stop to stare As music rubber hosed the air
The big mover this year for the southern polar vortex appears high up in momentum flux. Not a lot of other superlatives to show
Caliber .30-06 is available in subsonic and that matches the lack of penetration. No miracle bullet, but an unusually weak load. youtu.be/UoCApd1PhmY
PREPRINT: Shaw, Miyawaki: "results show record-breaking upper-level jet stream wind and increased clear-air turbulence are tied to the Clausius-Clapeyron relation and are therefore robust and well-understood" eartharxiv.org/repository/vie…
The GEFS extended begins to look like the polar vortex in the southern hemisphere exhibits wave activity again in early October, potentially closing the seasonal ozone hole, yielding early final warming influence on the SAM
Temperatures in the southern polar stratosphere pulse warm again in early October.
Near term pulse of geopotential height anomaly is modeled at 2431m, inside 5 days. More pulses of strat warming to come after this.
Series of warmings long forecast. Shows the potential of a series of very warm events in the southern polar stratosphere. Brink of full SSW in each pulse.
There is at least a second shoe to drop with the southern polar vortex, which is on the way down and oscillating through large wave formations. A golden decade of discovery is upon us.
What type should we expect? There is but one paper on SH winter 2024? Are you happy to read about double SSWs in both hemispheres?
What type should we expect? There is but one paper on SH winter 2024? Are you happy to read about double SSWs in both hemispheres? https://t.co/8dVZ5QnYJo

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