Σ @variancesigma
Not financial advice, I have no idea what I am doing Joined February 2021-
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Congressional stock trading should be illegal.
"Warren Buffett, the billionaire head of Berkshire Hathaway, will probably go down as the greatest investor in history... Berkshire shares have seen an average annual return of 20.0%..." Meanwhile:
Case-Shiller: national home price index rose 6.0% Y/Y in Jan, fastest rate since '22; 10 largest cities rose 7.4%; 20 largest rose 6.6% w/ every city rising for 2nd month in a row; tell me more about inflation being under control...
“My memory is fine.” Confuses Egypt and Mexico literally 3 minutes later.
Raise rates again please @federalreserve
Raise rates again please @federalreserve
Goodnight Bitcoin
On Dec 22nd Nancy Pelosi and her husband traded Nvidia, NVDA, calls. $NVDA just hit all time highs. Her Nvidia calls, bought for $377 are now at $404, now up 7.2%. These deep ITM $NVDA calls show that Nancy Pelosi once again believes politicians should be able to trade (and in…
before you make fun of a kid for believing in Santa, just remember millions of people believe BlackRock and Vanguard control the entire economy
More people are starting to pay attention to our work. Data from Quiver Quantitative was just used by Fox, in a segment on a suspicious congressional stock trade. We reported on the trade last week:
The Fed right now… 😬 History will not judge this Fed meeting well.
This is comical 🤣🤣🤣
Crypto is worthless. The @federalreserve doesn’t back stop it since they have no obligation to help. It’s not accepted everywhere, it’s not legal tender, it’s not backed by a government (which is the purpose but also a major problem). This helps the case for a CBDC. 🤔🤔🤔
Why? This video is the best explainer yet as to Hamas’ strategy. Given stark differences in fire power, their battlefield is that of public opinion in the West; in this context, having Palestinian civilians killed is key:
Falling oil prices, economic slowdown in China, and uncertainty about monetary policy caused the DJIA to decline slightly in 2015, but it rebounded sharply in 2016, gaining over 23 percent from the previous year. 🤔🤔🤔 #Macro
Easy as pie ☠️☠️☠️
🚨CHINA WIRES LIST JOE’S HOME AS BENEFICIARY ADDRESS 🚨 A few months after Joe Biden announced his candidacy in 2019, information available to the Committee shows Hunter Biden received two wires from China for $250,000 and $10,000, including from Jonathan Li. More alarming, the…
CHINA ORDERS FUNDS/BANKS NOT TO SELL STOCKS
I spend most of my day writing code to bring insights into what’s going on in DC. But not everything is in the data, so I often run C-SPAN in the background to catch moments like this. Dianne Feinstein almost accidentally voting in favor of banning congressional trading:
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gm, say it back my institutional readers realizing they don't have to pay Zoltan $30k a year to learn about repo plumbing have a good one
if rates markets can price in 7 cuts this year then they can also price out all those cuts this year not saying it will happen but anything is possible innit
the rumors are true
$spy anyone try unplugging and plugging back in?
Representative Michael Guest bought stock in Exxon Mobil while sitting on an energy subcommittee. The stock has risen 145% since. Guest is also the chairman of the House Ethics Committee. This puts him in charge of enforcing the STOCK Act. We have seen him violate it twice.
the Fed's messaging is clear: inflation is dealt with, but we don't need to cut too soon, however, we'll be cutting soon anyway
Fed intentionally letting inflation run hot + Chinese QE. Do you own enough of the inflation basket?
Bubble? Wha’ bubble?
While people focus on AI, the Mag 7, etc., I think they might be missing the absolute insane valuations that many no or low-growth industrials are now sporting. Eaton, as basic an industrial conglomerate there is, now trades at almost 30x LTM EBITDA and 6x revenue.