Sonia Options: Trade Du Jour. SFIM6 96.40/96.55/96.75/96.90 c condor vs 96.00/95.90 ps bgt for 2.75 in 7.77k
At least 2 cuts and further dovish outlook whilst selling chances of a rate hike. Total Delta 14%.
#optionss
Euribor Options: Trade Du Jour. ERX5 98.125/98.25 call spread (vs 98.03, 1d) bgt for 0.5 in 8k (0.45 synth)
A speculative punt / hedge for at least one cut that could come in Oct or be priced for Dec by 14th Nov. ROI 26.7:1 should the ECB Deliver.
#options
Trade Du Jour. Euribor Options Conditional bear steepner targets rate on hold through 2026 with 50bps of cuts priced into Dec27
2RX5 97.6875/97.50 put spread vs 0RX5 97.9375 put bgt for 0.5 for the ps in 5k
#options
Euribor options: ERX5 98.00/98.0625/98.125/98.1875 call condor paid 1 in 22k all day
Body of the condor targeting between 0-50% priced into Dec with a full 25bps cut priced for Feb
Heathy 17% Delta with 60 days to run. ROI 5.25:1
Sonia Options: SFIZ5 96.50/96.55/96.75/96.80 c condor bgt for 0.25 in 2k - all day
Body of the condor aiming for at least 50bps delivered by dec with pricing for Feb mtg 5 - 25bps.
ROI 19:1 #options
Sonia Options: Nov or Dec cut with further ~15bps priced into Feb. ROI 4.7:1 Delta 10%
SFIZ5 96.25/96.35/96.40/96.50 c condor bgt for 1.75 in 1.2k #options
Sonia options: BoE on hold play
SFIX5 96.15/96.10/96.05 p ladder bgt for 2 in 3k - all day
A vol seller for rates on hold, lose prem paid on any cuts. ROI 1.5:1 #options
Eurex kicked off their new Eurobond futures yesterday. 1800 lots traded, but on Day 2 we are now through 4000. Bloomie ticker is BFEA
Here's the link you need for the spec's
eurex.com/ex-en/markets/…
Position add for ECB Dec cut and hold
ERZ5 98.06/98.18/98.31 cfly bought for 2.25 in 10k
Traded yesterday same level in 24k
Dec expiry lands three days before the ECB meeting; body pinned if they trim 25bps then hold into Feb. Delta 11%, ROI 4.5:1
#options
ECB to cut Dec and price hold to 13bps Feb
ERZ5 98.0625/98.125/98.25/98.3125 c cndr bgt for 1.5 in 3k
A large fly traded earlier but this iteration whilst tighter in its profit zone does allow a landing zone vs a pin
Delta 10% ROI 3:1
#options
Trade for ECB to cut and hold in Dec
ERZ5 98.0625/98.1875/98.3125 call fly bgt for 2.25 in 20k
Dec options exp 15th Dec 3 days before the ECB mtg. With just shy of a full 25bps cut priced and a hold in Feb nails the body of fly.
Delta 11% ROI 4.5:1
#Options#ecb#ice#mkts
ICE ESTR recently smashed through the 1.5m mark of o.i Has that growth been at the expensive of Euribor?
Stacking both ICE and Eurex side by side it would appear not, both products on both exchanges seems to be contributing overall deeper liquidity.
#markert#ice#eurex
#option ECB Hold or 1 hike by Mar26 - Large Pos Build
ERH6 97.9375/97.8125/97.6875/97.5625 put condor ppr pays 0.5 on 7.5k all day
Trade 12k Yesterday
Delta 7% ROI 24:1 Expiry 16th Mar | Mar ECB 19th Body of condor allows for ~unc to one hike priced by Mar26
Euribor Options - ECB Boxed in on rates moves
Trade Du Jour
ERU6 98.375/98.1875/97.9375 put lad bgt 2.75 in 15k
+24d and modestly neg gamma. Breakeven sits around 97.77 max profit between 97.94 and 98.19 — a sweet spot for a boxed-in ECB. ROI is just under 6:1.
#options
Sonia Options Trade Du Jour
SFIX5 96.15/96.10 ps vs SFIV5 96.15/96.05 ps bought Nov for 0.25 in 10k
With no Oct meeting could this be a cunning BoE Hold play? All will be revealed after O.I tomorrow and ill update in tomorrow’s report
#options
The People's 50bps cut call spread is still active!
Buyer 13.5k all day in SFRU5 96.125/96.25 cs for 1.5 - bid over now, unsurprisingly with positioning above 200k
#options
‘The Too Slow Catch Up Trade’
A monster position is building in Sep25 Sofr Options after further buying today
Buyer 50k SFRU5 96.125/96.25 call spread from 1.375 to 1.5
That’s adding to yesterday’s buy for 1.5 in 50k and a further ~100k last week.
#options
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