Mountain View Trading @DanWiserMtnView
40+ years in finance - CPA & markets; swing trader/investor. All opinions my own - not invest advice. Enjoy hiking in natl parks - Bear Lake at RMNP. Midwest, USA Joined November 2019-
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Mountain View Trading retweeted
This has been such a strong Bull Mkt. 'Trend until not' says it all.
This has been such a strong Bull Mkt. 'Trend until not' says it all.
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Unusual for $SPX wkly EMA(5) to not pull back to EMA(13) at times. Happened even in strong yr like '24 5x. Only happened 2x during '17. May not happen again in '25?...
Yes, tough seasonals ahead, but my approach is react to price - don't predict. It results in small DDs, but avoids large DDs & gives LT outperformance. Bulls control imo until lower wkly close < 6238 from 8/1 wkly close. HAGW!
Since early Aug, buy $SPX @ 21 EMA and sell @ ~6500. One of them is going to give real soon... If 21 EMA gives, it will break pattern in place since late April.
I hope you are already following @FrankCappelleri...if not I really think you should.
I hope you are already following @FrankCappelleri...if not I really think you should.
$SPX can do whatever it wants (esp in Sept & Oct!), but warning signs to me are weekly EMA(5) / EMA(13) neg cross along with Wm%R (14) below -50. Both looking good so far... Have a great holiday weekend!
Amazing $SPX strength since Apr when cross back > 20 d, and Wm %R >-50. Barely flirted with either one since then. Weak seasonals ahead, but huge burden of proof on bears.
Mountain View Trading retweeted
QQQ working on fifth down day.
$RSP: $SPX w/gap up > 21 EMA today. Now will 21 EMA hold?...
Interesting thread..."A high ratio isn't a crash signal by itself, but it's a vulnerability guage."
Interesting thread..."A high ratio isn't a crash signal by itself, but it's a vulnerability guage."
Mountain View Trading retweeted
The $SPX just logged back-to-back 80% breadth days for the first time since 4/11-4/14. 👀
GM. $SPX outperformed $XLK early in '25, but RS turned in favor of $XLK at Apr lows and never looked back...still going...
Hats off to the bulls who today held EMA(5)/EMA(13) right where they had to, & pulled Wm%R(14) back above -50 to -43.06. Still no quit so far in the bulls since the April rebound.
Hats off to the bulls who today held EMA(5)/EMA(13) right where they had to, & pulled Wm%R(14) back above -50 to -43.06. Still no quit so far in the bulls since the April rebound.
$SPX bulls on defense imo w/Wm%R(14) <-50 (1st time since Apr sell-off). EMA(5)/EMA(13) barely holding on...
Well said @FrankCappelleri.
$SPX w/ATH each day last wk pushed RSI(5) > 90. Below are 8 times since Nov '23 low with RSI(5) > 90. July '24 led to ~8% DD (EMA 8/21 cross was heads up); other 7 had little or no impact on uptrend. Doesn't guarantee anything for this time, but good to know the history.
Mountain View Trading retweeted
$SPX An uptrend doesn't get much cleaner than this.
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