Andrei Sota @Signal_Sigma
Your Financial Future Begins Here: https://t.co/bBKRklaMLy signal-sigma.com Bucharest, Romania Joined January 2013-
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And the result is another fascinating market breadth Study! Whenever the number of stocks in topping patterns starts to rise along with the market, it's another indication that the internals are not supporting indexes at their highs. When the number explodes, it's already far…
And the result is another fascinating market breadth Study! Whenever the number of stocks in topping patterns starts to rise along with the market, it's another indication that the internals are not supporting indexes at their highs. When the number explodes, it's already far… https://t.co/Z2RYGMb72b
Let's define and identify topping patterns, like this one for $PAYX -- 3 attributes that we can scan for: - Negative 1Y Returns - Positive 2 Year Trend - 2Y Z-Score below -1 Now let's see how many stocks in time match this pattern!
Let's define and identify topping patterns, like this one for $PAYX -- 3 attributes that we can scan for: - Negative 1Y Returns - Positive 2 Year Trend - 2Y Z-Score below -1 Now let's see how many stocks in time match this pattern! https://t.co/blcSkghGjB
Here we go again, for the 35000th time, a #Government #Shutdown. Let me nip a few of the #media #falsehoods in the bud now. 1) NO - we will not default on our #debt. Interest payments are a #mandatory expense. 2) NO - Seniors will not lose their Social Security payments. (Again,…
$SPY Correlation Variance among Mag7 stocks has decreased recently - a sign of volatility in the days ahead. While not a sell signal in itself, higher correlation among this top cohort happens when there is little rotation between the names. Extended periods where correlation…
Backtesting wins, so that’s what we’ll deliver next! I’ll keep asking you guys for direction going forward. This app is built for YOU after all 😉
Backtesting wins, so that’s what we’ll deliver next! I’ll keep asking you guys for direction going forward. This app is built for YOU after all 😉
A very effective BUY signal has also just triggered, right on queue. The signal measures when a confluence of negative indicators comes to an end. Further upside is usually the result. For investors waiting to “buy-the-dip”, this signal basically says “this was the dip”.
A very effective BUY signal has also just triggered, right on queue. The signal measures when a confluence of negative indicators comes to an end. Further upside is usually the result. For investors waiting to “buy-the-dip”, this signal basically says “this was the dip”. https://t.co/wDDafKXCpP
Last week, I got several calls from my advisory clients related to taking profits in their portfolios. An understandable and potentially smart move, but one that does not indicate excess exuberance -- rather a fear of losing unrealized gains.
For assets in your portfolio, are you more interested in seeing: - Backtested performance based on historical data - Simulated future performance based on AI generated semi-random timelines that rime with the past - None of the above - Both
PCE confirms sticky/rising inflation - and YoY 7% increase in household utility costs. Data also shows wages aren’t keeping up and folks are drawing down savings on spending.
Two Studies to put potential downside into perspective: 1. Technicals suggest that the next support level past the 50-DMA lies at around $605; 2. The best medium term SELL signal that we have triggered in June and predicts a 6-month median outcome of about -1%; it triggered at…
We are still in a dip-buying regime (aka - dip buying works, as the market is TRENDING). This week's selling is not enough to change that.
According to the options market, the Momentum $MTUM and the Equally Weighted S&P 500 $RSP have the best risk / reward setup among Factor ETFs. $RSP has underperformed recently, so the options market positioning is natural. But $MTUM is an outlier, given its recent run.
How is the market judging the Fed's actions? With today's PCE data, we'll get part of that picture. In 10 out of 13 cases in the last 25 years, if the market was lower 1 month after a rate cut - what followed was a bear market 6 and 12 months later. Short term volatility can be…

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