Turquoise Macro @tqmacro
Macro stuff, tweetdigger. Côte d'Azur Joined June 2020-
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China's current account surplus is bigger than ever (lhs, black line), but PBoC accumulation of FX reserves has stopped (lhs, red bars). The Yuan peg is as strong as always (rhs), so China is using other state actors to intervene. China's FX laundromat... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/chinas-fx-la…
Investors are starting to realize that the fees are too damn high to justify the vast majority of these multistrats. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
BREAKING: Nvidia, $NVDA, extends run into record territory and officially becomes the first company in history to hit $4.5 trillion in market cap.
Financial aggregates data for August - credit growth accelerating. Investors leading the way in the housing space with the strongest monthly credit growth since June 2015. Personal credit also posting solid growth on an annualised basis. Credit data, in isolation, doesn't…
Europe continues to trade at a discount to the US—the STOXX 600 is at roughly a 30% discount to the S&P 500, even on a sector‑adjusted basis -GS
Consumers continue to point to a cooling of labor market conditions. The Conference Board’s Labor Differential deteriorated in September.
Home prices declined again in July. The Case-Shiller index fell for the 5th month in a row while FHFA fell for the 4th month in a row. Despite this, real home prices are still 10% above their GFC bubble peak.
Wow. The job openings rate for the construction sector has fallen to 2.2%, the lowest since November 2015
US excess liquidity ticks higher, underpinning further equity re-rating.
This reporting from the Financial Times on a key component of U.K. inflation suggests that the desired rebalancing between goods and services prices is not materializing as quickly as policymakers hoped. Specifically, there is concern in several advanced economies that goods…
We remain unquestionably in both a cyclical and secular bull market. That of course doesn’t help us determine how soon it will end, but a trend in motion tends to stay in motion, and this one has good technicals and positive earnings momentum, and so far not many signs of…
BREAKING: The BLS announces it will not be releasing economic data, including Friday's jobs report, in the case of a US Government shutdown. There is currently a 74% chance that the US Government shuts down on Wednesday, per Kalshi.
US exceptionalism is NOT dead Full story out on @RealVision soon!
Goldman Sachs forecasts that ASICs will grow at a very rapid pace.
WSJ Today Question ... is the kind of thing that happens at the bottom, the middle of the trend, or the top?

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GRANDMA MARIUM MARGRE... @GRANDMAMARIUM4
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