Mike Singleton, CFA @InvictusMacro
Founder/CIO at https://t.co/frSNaHyFAX - we’re building something special - join the waitlist now … https://t.co/L4S5GnVVhn invictusresearch.ai Joined September 2021-
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I LOVE Mikes work. He understands there is wisdom WITHIN the market and doesn't force his wisdom upon it. Great chart.
I LOVE Mikes work. He understands there is wisdom WITHIN the market and doesn't force his wisdom upon it. Great chart.
Autumn seasonal weakness in the first year of the Presidential Cycle tends to be more extreme than average Since 1928, the September win rate is just 42%(n=24)... Yikes Obviously, that's not to say we're headed for a recession, but some volatility in the coming months would be…
Autumn seasonal weakness in the first year of the Presidential Cycle tends to be more extreme than average Since 1928, the September win rate is just 42%(n=24)... Yikes Obviously, that's not to say we're headed for a recession, but some volatility in the coming months would be… https://t.co/b5Hen6WHYz
Speaking of labor market fragility, the corporate hiring rate is currently recessionary Actually, it's lower than at any point during the '01 recession Policymakers have to be very careful here
Speaking of labor market fragility, the corporate hiring rate is currently recessionary Actually, it's lower than at any point during the '01 recession Policymakers have to be very careful here https://t.co/Q0hSKL4kgT
It's always encouraging to see growth estimates getting revised lower as consumer discretionary stocks lead the market higher Given the choice between trusting the consensus, or the market... we'll take the market every time Usually when the discretionary staples ratio is…
Momentum is fairly well-documented as a high-performing, uncorrelated investment style over time; however, allocators are often hesitant to deploy capital toward it... Why? BIG left tails, as you can see below So - is there a way to USE momentum to earn superior returns over…
Momentum is fairly well-documented as a high-performing, uncorrelated investment style over time; however, allocators are often hesitant to deploy capital toward it... Why? BIG left tails, as you can see below So - is there a way to USE momentum to earn superior returns over… https://t.co/1igUlJNHeA
❓❓ Gold vs bonds ❓❓ Unpopular truth: historically, 10-year notes have been a better diversifier than gold against a portfolio of stocks... Should they be left for dead?
Why does it look like homebuilders have bottomed? If we're going to see growth continue to slow (or a recession), one would expect to see underperformance from builders Not happening despite terrible data Interesting $XHB
Consumer staples continue to lag Historically, that's a good thing When Staples are lagging, $SPY compounds >20%
There's a great deal of hand wringing about tariffs, and the impact they're having on the US economy Here's the answer: import prices since Liberation Day are up about +55 bps (0.55%) That's a little high relative to history, but not unheard of (80th percentile)... And…
We have noted before that September is a seasonally weak month for stocks (and some other risk assets) But what does an average drawdown look like for stocks in September? 5-7% tends to be the range, historically $SPY
We have noted before that September is a seasonally weak month for stocks (and some other risk assets) But what does an average drawdown look like for stocks in September? 5-7% tends to be the range, historically $SPY https://t.co/VZbCUQUQWT
When liquidity/credit conditions are supportive, good things tend to happen for stocks Or, more to the point, bad things tend NOT to happen
Despite tariffs, global supply chains seem *totally fine* The FRBNY's Global Supply Chain Pressure Index is currently reading ZERO In other words, goods inflation is likely "contained" for the next couple quarters Don't hear many folks talking about this right now
Despite tariffs, global supply chains seem *totally fine* The FRBNY's Global Supply Chain Pressure Index is currently reading ZERO In other words, goods inflation is likely "contained" for the next couple quarters Don't hear many folks talking about this right now https://t.co/HZbRDQjOrQ

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129K Followers 594 Following Technical Analysis | PM @adaptiv | ETF $ADPV @ADPV_ETF | Children’s book author | Alum @UofSC & @Citadel1842 | Tweets are not advice
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Callum Thomas @Callum_Thomas
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PiQ @PiQSuite
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Brian G @alphacharts
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Simon Ree @simon_ree
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129K Followers 594 Following Technical Analysis | PM @adaptiv | ETF $ADPV @ADPV_ETF | Children’s book author | Alum @UofSC & @Citadel1842 | Tweets are not advice
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Michael Green @profplum99
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132K Followers 4K Following Head of Research, Founder: @topdowncharts Global Macro & Asset Allocation Research (tweets = not advice) NOTE: I will never DM you -- beware of scammers.
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125K Followers 7K Following Go To @PiQNewswire For 24/7 Breaking News • Check Out https://t.co/VmD0voJnlH • Partnered With @PepperstoneFX - A Better Way To Trade → https://t.co/tZJHixSi2F
ʎllǝuuop ʇuǝɹq @donnelly_brent
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63K Followers 86 Following Financial writer. Markets & charts. Subscribe for exclusive charts, a daily insight, and a follow-back. Open to freelance or full-time work.
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103K Followers 828 Following Chief Investment Strategist @Piper_Sandler. Ranked Wall Street's #1 Portfolio Strategist (II, '24). #HOPE. CFA. Girl dad. https://t.co/EBG0jU7WoE
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193K Followers 612 Following Subscribe at https://t.co/VGtUvtX2QK for latest thoughts and analysis. YouTube: https://t.co/wTjbN1iNQ8
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218 Followers 5 Following TrendLabs is home to Everybody’s Wrong, the daily eletter that ditches headlines for hard-hitting charts. Sign up here: https://t.co/e8RCjPwTZt
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16K Followers 97 Following I invest in biotechs. I often tweet about companies I have positions in. Nothing I say should be considered investment advice.
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©️redit From Ⓜ�... @Credit_Junk
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