David Bitner @Bitner_speaks
Commercial Real Estate, Finance, Economics, Culture & History retweets mostly San Francisco, CA Joined August 2017-
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It is truly hilarious that the American Medical Association is tweeting about restrictions on supply of doctors hurting healthcare.
It is truly hilarious that the American Medical Association is tweeting about restrictions on supply of doctors hurting healthcare.
Great line from Michael Cembalest, JPM..... "Other recent AI news: Oracle’s stock jumped by 25% after being promised $60 billion a year from OpenAI, an amount of money OpenAI doesn’t earn yet, to provide cloud computing facilities that Oracle hasn’t built yet, and which will…
BoA (Subramanian): Buying stocks at these multiples feels bad, but ... perhaps this situation is not untenable - the index has changed significantly from the 80s, 90s and 2000s. Perhaps we should anchor to today’s multiples as the new normal rather than expecting mean reversion…
Bernanke, @JohnHCochrane, Greenspan, Mankiw, Paulson, Rogoff, Romer, Rubin, @LHSummers, Yellen, others, & me: "allowing the removal of Governor Lisa D. Cook while the challenge to her removal is pending would threaten that independence and erode public confidence in the Fed."
Maybe unpopular opinion but tenant protection laws went too far in many jurisdictions. Clever renters could game system & live 12+ months without paying. That loss isn’t absorbed by landlords, it gets baked into higher housing costs for everyone. Good to see DC seek more balance.
Here's student loan debt vs. wages (both real). You can see it's going down.
The little pop in initial jobless claims two weeks ago has fully reversed. Continuing claims continue to run slightly above last year's low level but largely suggest the economy remains in its slow-to-hire, slow-to-fire equilibrium.
Tech companies have raised $157 billion so far this year in public US bond markets, up 70% from what they issued in the same period last year: Bloomberg. Big tech firms have huge cash flows, but also "a pretty heavy capex need" over the next 5-10 years. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan is out with a speech explaining why she thinks it’s time for the Fed to transition away from targeting the fed-funds rate (a market that is a shadow of its old self) and use the tri-party general collateral rate dallasfed.org/news/speeches/…
IMF data, cited by Apollo’s Torsten Slok, shows that “the share of euros in global FX reserves is not going up and remains low at 20%” (please see chart below). In other words, the euro has not benefited from concerns in some parts of the world about the dollar—concerns that have…
Without tech spending, the US would have been close to, or in, a recession earlier this year: DB's Saravelos. "Perhaps Nvidia, which employed only 36,000 people at the last update earlier this year, holds the keys to all global macro in 2026:" DB
NEW: Every living former Fed chair (Greenspan, Bernanke, Yellen) ... have joined several former Treasury secretaries (Rubin, Summers, Paulson, Geithner, Lew) ... and CEA chairs (Hubbard, Mankiw, Romer, Furman, Rouse, Bernstein) who served presidents of both parties ... in an…
wrote today about how even if you've heard of Mississippi's surge in reading scores, you're probably underestimating it:
Private consumption remains firmly above its pre-COVID trend. There's lots of anecdotes that consumption is becoming increasingly concentrated among high net worth and high income households, but the truth is that the strength of consumption in the face of tariffs is a puzzle...
Energy costs have tracked inflation historically. That stability is now at risk after scores of projects across every source were cancelled over past decade due to permitting. Without reform, we will not have affordable & reliable energy. A partial list of projects affected: 🧵
this is almost too stupid to believe nature invented this great distributed computer called the "price system" to locally calculate scarcity with unimaginable accuracy and precision and immigration services / DOL thinks they can central plan better than this
this is almost too stupid to believe nature invented this great distributed computer called the "price system" to locally calculate scarcity with unimaginable accuracy and precision and immigration services / DOL thinks they can central plan better than this
Trucking has been in my family since the 1960’s. We’ve lived through multiple cycles: Trucking deregulation, oil crisis, stagflation, the S&L collapse, Gulf War, Sept 11, and the financial crisis. I’ve spoken to dozens of trucking veterans with 40+ years of experience -…
Trucking has been in my family since the 1960’s. We’ve lived through multiple cycles: Trucking deregulation, oil crisis, stagflation, the S&L collapse, Gulf War, Sept 11, and the financial crisis. I’ve spoken to dozens of trucking veterans with 40+ years of experience -…
The US is gradually losing its "exorbitant privilege," its ability to issue debt more cheaply than the rest of the G10 when foreign yields are swapped back into $. That loss is most pronounced for longer-term yields where risk premia are building. US deficits are taking a toll...
There is no statistically significant impact of income on crime. Criminality and poverty coexist because they are both caused by the same underlying traits. Giving poor people money will not make them any less violent.
This morning, the @ChicagoFed introduced new labor market indicators that combine private sector data with official labor statistics to provide a real-time view of hiring, layoffs and other job separations, and an early forecast of the unemployment rate. chicagofed.org/research/data/….

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