BɅRTON @Barton_options
PhD. Swing trader in index options, Fed watcher. Tweets reflect my personal observations. No investment advice. No medical advice. fed.tips Texas, USA Joined January 2014-
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The unintended consequence of current BTFP setup is that it incentivize people to start bank runs to push up the value of their TQQQ/SPXL positions. BAC is sitting on $~1T of MBS. I am sure wallstreetbet folks are eager to throw it under the bus any time now. /s
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65K Followers 84 Following Investor/trader focused primarily in the biopharma sector. Tweets are not investment advice and are not recommendations of any kind.@WillingWitness That's burning embers blowing along the street surface in Cleveland a couple of years ago. The pavement is not burning.
@CranfordMATTER What’s struck me most about the paper is even if it’s not a room-temp superconductor, it’s a heck of an anomaly. Something worth investigating.
"Actually because I saw a person lying it means that everything is a lie until proven otherwise, and by proof I mean putting grapes in my mouth as I do nothing "
@prettyfly88 @iris_IGB @CertifiedOmlet @nimorotem But this indicates the original Korean video can be the same.
@Barton_options F-that. My crazy-ass mind went straight to: ...room temperature NMRs!!! what a f*ckin NERD i am.
@adsquires @Russellegdell @ivana_evans @Robert_Palgrave It must be either superconductive or extremely diamagnetic if an impure bulky chip of a puck of a _lead compound_ showed that level of levitation if you compare it to the videos of thin pyrolytic carbon sheets which barely hold up their own weight.
4/8 There are problems with the two room-T SC papers. In arxiv:2307.12008, the change in mass susceptibility btw 0 field and field-cooled is given as about 2.5e-4 emu/g. Assuming a density of about 7 g/cc, that gives \chi (SI) = -0.022, about 36 times that of graphite.
5/8 That would be exciting, if it's accurate. However, what appears to be the same data is plotted in Fig. 4a of arxiv:2307.12037, and the y-scale is *completely different*, larger by a factor of 7000 (!).
The papers don’t matter anymore. Real people have to get in a lab together, make the stuff, and test it. The entire point of the paper is freaking marketing to get other people to try it. The reason scientists get annoyed by bad papers is freaking clickbait waste of time.
What a drama Lee and Kim has been disciples Korea University Dept of Chemistry head TS Chair. TS Chair comes up with a one-dimensional room temperature superconductor (SC) theory and publishes in 1994. Lee, the theoretician, takes up the mantle, publishes his Masters thesis…
The papers were not ready for publication. Lee & Kim had been working on the material on and off since Kim was in graduate school in 1999 (LK-99 geddit?). Lee never makes tenure and is still stuck as an adjunct professor 19 years later. Kim goes off to work in battery materials…
@condensed_the I did a quick DFT calculation including SOC, and the Cu substitution does produce a metal - close to an almost filled d-band. The main carriers are therefore hole-like. The pseudopotentials don't allow for PDOS projections though so I can't tell if it's Pb-d or Cu-d orbitals.
@MRWahdy This is what I think (longer post here if you care: linkedin.com/posts/rishmish…)
The appropriate headline should be - FDIC, Federal Reserve, and US Treasury save BoJ's YCC ceiling :)
@Barton_options Yes, and that's basically the big change, along with being able to borrow for a year. When they released this wire in the afternoon *FED WEIGHS EASING ACCESS TO DISCOUNT WINDOW TO BACKSTOP BANKS I was thinking about how haircuts potentially the only they can change.
@Barton_options It's effectively the Discount Rate itself (IOR+10) 😄
I've got tickers and names here which changed nearly a half year ago... (the tickers/names they report don't exist any more, replaced by new ones).
The benefits of deregulation are immediate and can be seen in higher profits. The costs can take longer to be apparent but be much larger.
@Brad_Setser Incl fx hedge cost the return is negative for many Intl accounts (eg japanese accts) with inverted US yield curve and usd basis premium.
One of the many subtle but key differences btween US and Europe about SVB failure: US Banks hedge less their long term HTM govies because perfect hedging gives you the short term rate and what's the point? In Europe if u hedge (bund/asw) you still get.. the spread! Grazie Italia!
Originally designed for FX intervention, the ESF is available to promote orderly exchange rates and systemic stability — and has about $200B. sites.duke.edu/thefinregblog/…
@NickTimiraos @DanielSLoeb1 They’ll do that with SVB in some way. Once rescued, Fed policy may not change at all. I covered the S&L crisis. The Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC) handled the failed thrifts. We may see a variation on that theme if there are others … but more likely to bail than fail.