Nicholas Glinsman @nglinsman
Co-Founder at Malmgren-Glinsman Partners Macro PM, Brevan Howard & Salomon alumni. Macro & geopolitical commentator. London School of Economics Miami, FL Joined May 2010-
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How #China's Ad-Hoc Tech Pipeline Fuels #Russia's #Ukraine War Efforts tinyurl.com/3xtbsk5a @SlaughterAM @EvanLSolomon @Tendar @om @om @SaoSasha @UmlandAndreas @anders_aslund @altcap @dylan522p @om @dnystedt @Gerashchenko_en @gdp1985 @wartranslated @Osinttechnical
Dovish surprise for QT - the cap is down from $60b to $25b. I believe the expectations was $30b. Treasury didn't cut coupon sizes, so Fed in effect did it for them.
Competing views on China's April factory PMI. Does the recovery have legs or is it losing steam? Bottomline from @ChinaBeigeBook: After a strong Q1 the big question was whether the economy could sustain momentum. April shows China’s growth prospects are already losing altitude.
Rising long end Treasuries yields our Ahead of the Herd dailies have long been anticipating-- though we paused last week to see what tricks Yellen might have up her sleeve. Looks now 10 year yields resuming, 5.5% in sight...and then?
Rising long end Treasuries yields our Ahead of the Herd dailies have long been anticipating-- though we paused last week to see what tricks Yellen might have up her sleeve. Looks now 10 year yields resuming, 5.5% in sight...and then?
Professor Scott Galloway joined me on my podcast this week and shared his thoughts on the Columbia and NYU protests. This is a must-watch episode.
The anti-Israel and anti-USA extremists largely overlap, logicallly enough because both are branded "settler states" though the first Jewish kingdom was established in Jerusalem before 1100 BC, while the Palestinian identity dates back to 1918 AD.
We at Malmgren Glinsman Partners warned about higher deficits due to defence spending and a bottom in inflation in the middle of 2023. Look at the UK - defence spending is now being upped to 2.5%. (The below paper written 8/21/23) @Halsrethink
We at Malmgren Glinsman Partners warned about higher deficits due to defence spending and a bottom in inflation in the middle of 2023. Look at the UK - defence spending is now being upped to 2.5%. (The below paper written 8/21/23) @Halsrethink https://t.co/5L5dZ2m88S
Wang Yi warns Blinken US must not cross red lines. But...US has just agreed with Philippines on mutual defense support. Hmm...Would assisting Philippines Coast Guard in confrontations with Chinese coast guard on disputed shoals on So China Sea "cross red line"?
Wang Yi warns Blinken US must not cross red lines. But...US has just agreed with Philippines on mutual defense support. Hmm...Would assisting Philippines Coast Guard in confrontations with Chinese coast guard on disputed shoals on So China Sea "cross red line"?
This is very revealing.
Not stimulus!
Like segregationists in the 1950s, today’s antisemitic protesters are violating civil rights and other laws. wsj.com/articles/with-… via @WSJopinion
This is frustrating to watch. Bruce Greenwald (not the gentleman below) is perhaps the best professor if u truly want to become an investors. He teaches at Columbia and is Jewish. I hope some powerful voices based in New York (and there are many!) push back on this very hard…
This is frustrating to watch. Bruce Greenwald (not the gentleman below) is perhaps the best professor if u truly want to become an investors. He teaches at Columbia and is Jewish. I hope some powerful voices based in New York (and there are many!) push back on this very hard…
"relationship between Big Four consulting firms & Chinese firms is being significantly affected as scrutiny of PwC's audit work Evergrande tightens accounting procedures..HK regulators have launched an investigation into PwC over whistleblower allegations" asia.nikkei.com/Business/Marke…
From @Halsrethink and @nglinsman „The Malmgren Politics Take“ on the #DragonBear 🇨🇳🇷🇺: „US secretary of state Antony Blinken will warn China that the US will take punitive steps unless it stops sending weapons-related technology to Russia, as Washington considers putting…
I have received a lot of questions on both uranium and gold coins. Uranium is a long-term hold, as it is the only geniune answer for alternative energy. With regard to gold coins, I have built a holding that will remain part of my portfolio, regardless of gold price dynamics.
I have received a lot of questions on both uranium and gold coins. Uranium is a long-term hold, as it is the only geniune answer for alternative energy. With regard to gold coins, I have built a holding that will remain part of my portfolio, regardless of gold price dynamics.
The Fed saw itself as "owner" of most banks, so decided in 2008-09 to save its own member banks. Treasury Secretary Paulson&Fed's Bernanke decided FDIC should not be consulted, and Geithner & Summers subsequently blocked FDIC partcipation or even a voice
The Fed saw itself as "owner" of most banks, so decided in 2008-09 to save its own member banks. Treasury Secretary Paulson&Fed's Bernanke decided FDIC should not be consulted, and Geithner & Summers subsequently blocked FDIC partcipation or even a voice
My latest thoughts courtesy of the eminent Ed Agostino of Mauldin Economics. youtube.com/watch?v=weDoUY…
Santiago Capital @SantiagoAuFund
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251K Followers 2K Following Founder & President, Forest for the Trees (FFTT). Author of "The Mr. X Interviews, Volumes I & II.” I never solicit via DM's. RT not endorsements.Harald Malmgren @Halsrethink
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85K Followers 165 Following Host, @AlphaBetaSoup_ on YouTube | Student of markets, history, and #Bitcoin | Learning in public daily | Relentlessly curious | Naturally spicyNicholas | Unusual Wh.. @NicholasFNS
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1.7M Followers 2K Following Stocks/Options/Crypto/Market News +Tools. Not advice 🐳 who changed 🏛️. Get $50-$5000 to trade: https://t.co/wGf2ZdlXpw Discord: https://t.co/0xJ9e0ZYYG More: https://t.co/nsxZlPV0pCAndrew Batson @andrewbatson
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9K Followers 664 Following Rates Trader, economist, father. The last Austrian economist in the Misesian tradition in AUT. Posts in English; repost≠endorsements -private accountG 🇦🇺 @bluewolfpack1
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5K Followers 3K Following Political Philosophy | per omnia saecula saeculorum | virtus tentamine gaudetApplies especially to Fintwit conspiracy theorists.
“Everyone has the right to believe anything they want. And everyone else has the right to find it fucking ridiculous.” @rickygervais
The Godfather has spoken
🐐
We will close SPX down on the day.
It’s almost 10pm in Dubai Takes a real Fed die hard to be up this late …(you can take the girl to Dubai et al et al) @bsurveillance
How are you 0DTE put seller doing? Asking for your margin clerk.
Dovish surprise for QT - the cap is down from $60b to $25b. I believe the expectations was $30b. Treasury didn't cut coupon sizes, so Fed in effect did it for them.
Artful turn of phrase by @FedGuy12 "Treasury didn't cut coupon sizes, so Fed in effect did it for them", with a dovish surprise for QT down from $60B to only $25B
Dovish surprise for QT - the cap is down from $60b to $25b. I believe the expectations was $30b. Treasury didn't cut coupon sizes, so Fed in effect did it for them.
Treasury buybacks, a thread explainer: Nah, could not be bothered. 😂😂 People would not believe me anyway.
We do - and we swim year round in icy water off the cost, and drink Schnaps (and we dont take Ozempics, we export them).
Why do Danes even need Ozempic? I thought they all rode bikes and ate foods uncontaminated with chemicals that contribute to obesity.
China "experts": Chairman Xi Jinping is the only hurdle to China enjoying a golden age of free market competition of glorious consumption Me: I don't think you know what communism means China "experts": It means the elevation of the people Me:
China reporting real estate sales for top 100 firms fell 48%. That's bad right?
So now we wait for FOMC, because, well, that is what we do. How else we going to get our daily dose of hopium?
Live shot below of investors searching for the level of the Fed & Treasury "put" strike prices to save them from a risk asset price correction. Investors, aka petulant children, are always looking for help from the Fed and/or Treasury to provide more liquidity to assist their…
Competing views on China's April factory PMI. Does the recovery have legs or is it losing steam? Bottomline from @ChinaBeigeBook: After a strong Q1 the big question was whether the economy could sustain momentum. April shows China’s growth prospects are already losing altitude.
Rising long end Treasuries yields our Ahead of the Herd dailies have long been anticipating-- though we paused last week to see what tricks Yellen might have up her sleeve. Looks now 10 year yields resuming, 5.5% in sight...and then?
The fate of the US long end will drive nearly every financial asset and with the Fed/Treasury put struck well below today's levels, it's not looking good ahead. Since the US 10yr started rising sharply to start the quarter, nearly all other assets have been driven by its move.
Yes...the GROSS position in futures is certainly as shown. But what is the NET? It could be: 1. Spread Vs individual equity shorts 2. Vol strategies against options 3. Spread strategies against other stock indices or asset classes 4. You name it...dozens of other possibilities…
@LynAldenContact @duediligenceguy Yup, understand your position... Completely legitimate. Personally I think it's wrong, but completely legitimate possibility and not unreasonable.
Jim Bianco @biancoresearch joins me on episode 165 to discuss the macro picture, stickier inflation, his outlook for the Fed's interest rate policy, his call for 5 to 5.5% on the 10-year Treasury, and why the Bitcoin ETF is a bad idea. youtu.be/7TSwCA5Sca4?si…
This might be the most accurate meme on the interwebs today.